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Long-term exposure to PM2.5 major components and mortality in the southeastern United States
Environment International ( IF 10.3 ) Pub Date : 2021-11-04 , DOI: 10.1016/j.envint.2021.106969
Yifan Wang 1 , Siyao Xiao 1 , Yuhan Zhang 2 , Howard Chang 3 , Randall V Martin 4 , Aaron Van Donkelaar 5 , Audrey Gaskins 2 , Yang Liu 1 , Pengfei Liu 6 , Liuhua Shi 1
Affiliation  

Background

Long-term exposure to fine particulate matter (PM2.5) mass has been associated with adverse health effects. However, the health effects of PM2.5 components have been less studied. There is a pressing need to better understand the relative contribution of components of PM2.5, which can lay the scientific basis for designing effective policies and targeted interventions.

Methods

We conducted a population-based cohort study, comprising all Medicare enrollees aged 65 or older in the southeastern United States from 2000 to 2016, to explore the associations between long-term exposure to PM2.5 major components and all-cause mortality among the elderly. Based on well-validated prediction models, we estimated ZIP code-level annual mean concentrations for five major PM2.5 components, including black carbon (BC), nitrate (NIT), organic matter (OM), sulfate (SO4), and soil particles. Data were analyzed using Cox proportional hazards models, adjusting for potential confounders.

Results

The cohort comprised 13,590,387 Medicare enrollees and a total of 107,191,652 person-years. In single-component models, all five major PM2.5 components were significantly associated with elevated all-cause mortality. The hazard ratios (HR) per interquartile range (IQR) increase in exposure were 1.027 (95% CI: 1.025–1.030), 1.012 (95% CI: 1.010–1.013), 1.018 (95% CI: 1.017–1.020), 1.021 (95% CI: 1.017–1.024), and 1.004 (95% CI: 1.003–1.006) for BC, NIT, OM, SO4, and soil particles, respectively. While the effect estimate of soil component was statistically significant, it is much smaller than those of combustion-related components.

Conclusion

Our study provides epidemiological evidence that long-term exposure to major PM2.5 components is significantly associated with elevated mortality.



中文翻译:

美国东南部PM2.5主要成分长期暴露与死亡率

背景

长期接触细颗粒物 (PM 2.5 ) 质量与不良健康影响有关。然而,PM 2.5成分对健康的影响研究较少。迫切需要更好地了解 PM 2.5成分的相对贡献,这可以为设计有效的政策和有针对性的干预措施奠定科学基础。

方法

我们进行了一项基于人群的队列研究,包括 2000 年至 2016 年美国东南部所有 65 岁或以上的医疗保险参保者,以探索长期接触 PM 2.5主要成分与老年人全因死亡率之间的关联。基于经过充分验证的预测模型,我们估算了五种主要 PM 2.5成分的邮政编码年平均浓度,包括黑碳 (BC)、硝酸盐 (NIT)、有机物 (OM)、硫酸盐 (SO 4 ) 和土壤粒子。使用 Cox 比例风险模型分析数据,针对潜在的混杂因素进行调整。

结果

该队列包括 13,590,387 名 Medicare 登记者,总计 107,191,652 人年。在单组分模型中,所有五种主要 PM 2.5组分都与全因死亡率升高显着相关。每四分位数范围 (IQR) 暴露增加的风险比 (HR) 为 1.027 (95% CI: 1.025–1.030)、1.012 (95% CI: 1.010–1.013)、1.018 (95% CI: 1.017–1.020)、1.021 (95% CI:1.017–1.024),BC、NIT、OM、SO 4和土壤颗粒分别为 1.004 (95% CI:1.003–1.006)。虽然土壤成分的影响估计具有统计显着性,但它远小于与燃烧相关的成分。

结论

我们的研究提供了流行病学证据,表明长期接触主要 PM 2.5成分与死亡率升高显着相关。

更新日期:2021-11-04
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