While much has been written about the probabilities referenced in Plantinga’s Evolutionary Argument Against Naturalism, insufficient attention has been paid to the question of how these probabilities are to be interpreted. In this paper, I demonstrate that objective interpretations entail the denial of traditional theism, making them unsuitable for Plantinga’s purpose here. With respect to epistemic interpretations, I note that standard Bayesianism is too permissive for Plantinga’s purposes. I then argue that Plantinga’s use of the Principle of Indifference is at odds with his Reformed Epistemology. I conclude with some suggestions for how defenders of the argument might proceed.

虽然已经有很多关于普兰廷加的进化论反自然主义中引用的概率的文章，但对如何解释这些概率的问题没有给予足够的关注。在本文中，我证明客观解释需要否定传统有神论，因此它们不适合 Plantinga 在这里的目的。关于认知解释，我注意到标准贝叶斯主义对于 Plantinga 的目的来说过于宽松。然后我争辩说，Plantinga 对冷漠原则的使用与他的改革宗认识论不一致。最后，我就争论的捍卫者如何进行提出了一些建议。