Intelligence is one of the most important psychological constructs and influences many decisions. Unsurprisingly, a large number of measurement instruments are available. However, conceptual development related to intelligence has been stagnant for many years despite recent technological trends that would enable new approaches to assessing human intelligence. One such approach would be to develop intelligence tests in virtual-reality scenarios, enabling researchers to observe how people interact with problems to solve them. Furthermore, artificial intelligence and machine learning could be used to gain even more insights from test data or use data arising from people's everyday lives to predict intelligence. Endeavors to assess intelligence without tests may eventually also lead to approaches using physiological variables related to the brain to make predictions. This article proposes several visions of plausible future developments in intelligence assessment over the coming decades and examines potential problems that might arise with these new methods.

智力是最重要的心理结构之一，会影响许多决策。不出所料，有大量的测量仪器可供使用。然而，尽管最近的技术趋势使评估人类智能的新方法成为可能，但与智能相关的概念发展多年来一直停滞不前。其中一种方法是在虚拟现实场景中开发智力测试，使研究人员能够观察人们如何与问题互动以解决问题。此外，人工智能和机器学习可用于从测试数据中获得更多见解，或使用人们日常生活中产生的数据来预测智能。努力在没有测试的情况下评估智力最终也可能导致使用与大脑相关的生理变量进行预测的方法。本文提出了未来几十年情报评估可能的未来发展的几个愿景，并研究了这些新方法可能出现的潜在问题。