ABSTRACT

This study explores the capacity of GST theory at the community level to explain differences in homicide rates across Mexico City neighborhoods. We find that higher levels of economic deprivation, population size, and organized crime activity, the latter being a source of strain leading to the deterioration of Mexican communities, are positively associated with homicide rates. However, neither crowding, residential mobility, nor Indian speaking population, the latter as a proxy of minority population, behave consistent with the theory. Interestingly, population density is consistently associated with homicide rates; however, in the opposite direction that is theorized. Furthermore, stable and statistically consistent relationships seem to have a negative quadratic functional form with homicide, meaning that the impact of these sources of strain will increase along the homicide rates distribution only up to a certain value.

摘要

本研究探讨了 GST 理论在社区层面解释墨西哥城社区凶杀率差异的能力。我们发现，较高程度的经济剥夺、人口规模和有组织犯罪活动（后者是导致墨西哥社区恶化的压力来源）与凶杀率呈正相关。然而，无论是拥挤、居住流动性还是说印度语的人口（后者是少数族裔人口的代表），都与该理论不符。有趣的是，人口密度始终与凶杀率相关。然而，在理论上的相反方向。此外，稳定且统计上一致的关系似乎与凶杀案具有负二次函数形式，