ABSTRACT

Short-term hourly reliable prediction of significant wave height is an important research topic in coastal engineering. Many researchers have carried out in-depth studies in many ocean regions. Generally, most of this work is implemented through numerical models. However, as for numerical models, with the increase of hourly prediction duration, the accumulation of wave randomness leads to the poor prediction effect. In this paper, four buoy stations in the Taiwan Strait are taken as the research objects. We propose a significant wave height prediction algorithm, which combines numerical weather prediction model WRF and deep-learning model, called WRF-CLSF(Convolution-LSTM-FC). WRF can forecast 24-h wind speed in real-time, based on a variety of interpretable physical mechanisms. CLSF aims to extract the information of historical wind-wave interaction scale and the trend of wind-wave coherence, with the help of convolution operation and the time series model(LSTM), respectively. In the experiment, the proposed model was compared with the state-of-the-art prediction model. The results show that WRF-CLSF has an outstanding prediction effect at four buoy observation stations along with the Taiwan Strait.