Future Composite Coastal Risk Index (CCRI) has been calculated to strengthen the development programs in the context of biodiversity conservation and sustainable management of natural resources along the Andaman coast. Total thirty-one parameters are used in the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) model to prepare the risk zone which is segmented into four groups for individual group-wise risk assessment. Land use and Land cover (LULC) have been prepared using supervised classification techniques with 6000 signatures. Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) based climatic data and population projection information play a major role, which has not been used previously for risk investigation in this study area. The risk zones of 2018 and the LULC classes have been validated by 978 field sample point and finally tehsil wise risk factors have been extracted using sensitivity analysis. The overall operation reflects a significant increase (4.35%) in the very high-risk zones in the absence of mangrove and coral ecosystem in 2030 compared to 2018. A large number of fishermen are trying to shift their primary occupation due to the unavailability of sufficient fishes in the near-shore regions, which is an indication of drastic changes in coastal ecosystems over the region in the last 3 decades. Therefore, the prediction of future coastal landscape in the absence of mangrove–coral ecosystem will draw a major concern in development planning which will strengthen the United Nation Development Program (UNDP) climate change mitigation, ecological restoration and biodiversity conservation planning, sustainable livelihood management practices, future research work in risk mitigation and management field.

未来综合海岸风险指数 (CCRI) 的计算旨在加强安达曼海岸沿线生物多样性保护和自然资源可持续管理的发展计划。在层次分析过程 (AHP) 模型中使用总共 31 个参数来准备风险区域，该区域被分为四组以进行单独的分组风险评估。土地利用和土地覆盖 (LULC) 是使用具有 6000 个签名的监督分类技术准备的。基于气候数据和人口预测信息的代表性浓度路径 (RCP) 发挥着重要作用，以前在本研究区域的风险调查中没有使用过。2018 年的风险区域和 LULC 类别已通过 978 个现场样本点进行验证，最后使用敏感性分析提取了 tehsil 明智的风险因素。与 2018 年相比，2030 年没有红树林和珊瑚生态系统的高风险区域的总体作业量显着增加（4.35%）。近岸地区的鱼类，这表明过去 3 十年来该地区沿海生态系统发生了剧烈变化。因此，在没有红树林-珊瑚生态系统的情况下对未来沿海景观的预测将引起发展规划的主要关注，这将加强联合国开发计划署 (UNDP) 的气候变化减缓，