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Strong extratropical cyclone generated ocean swells in the Northern Pacific from modeling and in-situ observations on the Hawaiian Islands
Ocean Modelling ( IF 3.1 ) Pub Date : 2021-09-15 , DOI: 10.1016/j.ocemod.2021.101888
Yaprak Onat 1 , Oceana P. Francis 2, 3
Affiliation  

The Northern Pacific Ocean swell environment is generated by extratropical cyclones originating at mid-latitude regions that travel thousands of miles, unimpeded, across the Pacific Ocean. Some of these massive swells reach the Hawaiian Islands causing damage to the shoreline and coastal infrastructure. Understanding the cause and relation between extratropical (EX) cyclone trends and associated swells that affect the Hawaiian Islands is essential towards coastal mitigation from destructive flooding. The strong EX-cyclogenesis events are detected from the atmospheric reanalysis dataset during 1979–2017 and are used to hindcast swells in the North Pacific domain using modeling and in situ observations. Our results show a rise in the number and intensity of strong EX-cyclones during 1979–2017, and this increase accelerates during 2007–2017. The deseasonalized and Thiel–Sen trends show that poleward and westward movement and increment in the frequency of strong EX-cyclones cause a significant rise in swell generation and intensity during 2007–2017. Almost one-third of the strong EX-cyclone-generated waves reach the Hawaiian Islands during 1979–2017 and one-quarter of it during 2007–2017.​ The deseasonalized maximum daily significant wave height and peak period trend slightly decreased during 1979–2017; however, it significantly increased during 2007–2017. These trends show similarity with El Niño-Southern Oscillation events, which affect the EX-cyclone pattern.



中文翻译:

通过对夏威夷群岛的建模和现场观测,强烈的温带气旋在北太平洋产生了海浪

北太平洋涌浪环境是由起源于中纬度地区的温带气旋产生的,这些气旋不受阻碍地穿越太平洋数千英里。其中一些大规模涌浪到达夏威夷群岛,对海岸线和沿海基础设施造成破坏。了解温带 (EX) 气旋趋势与影响夏威夷群岛的相关海浪之间的原因和关系对于减轻沿海破坏性洪水的影响至关重要。从 1979 年至 2017 年期间的大气再分析数据集中检测到强 EX-气旋事件,并用于使用建模和原位观测对北太平洋区域的涌浪进行后报。我们的结果表明,1979-2017 年期间强 EX 气旋的数量和强度有所增加,并且这种增加在 2007-2017 年期间加速。去季节性和 Thiel-Sen 趋势表明,在 2007-2017 年期间,向极和向西移动以及强 EX 气旋频率的增加导致涌浪产生和强度显着增加。1979 年至 2017 年期间,近三分之一的前气旋产生的强波到达夏威夷群岛,其中四分之一在 2007 年至 2017 年期间到达。 1979 年至 2017 年期间,去季节化的最大日显着波高和高峰期趋势略有下降; 然而,它在 2007-2017 年期间显着增加。这些趋势与影响 EX 气旋模式的厄尔尼诺-南方涛动事件相似。1979 年至 2017 年期间,几乎三分之一的前气旋产生的强波到达夏威夷群岛,其中四分之一在 2007 年至 2017 年期间到达。 1979 年至 2017 年期间,去季节化的最大日显着波高和高峰期趋势略有下降; 然而,它在 2007-2017 年期间显着增加。这些趋势与影响 EX 气旋模式的厄尔尼诺-南方涛动事件相似。1979 年至 2017 年期间,几乎三分之一的前气旋产生的强波到达夏威夷群岛,其中四分之一在 2007 年至 2017 年期间到达。 1979 年至 2017 年期间,去季节化的最大日显着波高和高峰期趋势略有下降; 然而,它在 2007-2017 年期间显着增加。这些趋势与影响 EX 气旋模式的厄尔尼诺-南方涛动事件相似。

更新日期:2021-10-01
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