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Contribution Analysis of the Streamflow Changes in Selected Catchments on the Loess Plateau, China, Using Multiple Budyko-Based Approaches
Water ( IF 3.0 ) Pub Date : 2021-09-15 , DOI: 10.3390/w13182534 Zhiyuan Yang , Jian Song , Chong Jiang , Kao Wang , Lingling Zhao , Runmei Hao
Water ( IF 3.0 ) Pub Date : 2021-09-15 , DOI: 10.3390/w13182534 Zhiyuan Yang , Jian Song , Chong Jiang , Kao Wang , Lingling Zhao , Runmei Hao
A better understanding of how streamflow interacts with climate change and human activities would contribute to the efficiency and effectiveness of water resources management. Specifically, quantifying the climate and human contributions has widely been used when attributing streamflow changes. However, only a few previous studies compared the results derived by different methods that are currently available, and even fewer studies have ever had a close look at the uncertainties induced by various estimations of evapotranspiration. This research first examined the streamflow changes for 12 catchments on the Loess Plateau in China during the period of 1961–2018 with Mann–Kendall test and relevant statistical measurements. Then, 8 Budyko-based climate elasticity methods, each with 13 estimations of evapotranspiration, were used to quantifying human and climate contributions to streamflow change in the study area (i.e., 104 pairs of values for human and climate contributions for one catchment). The results showed that significant declining trends could be found in 11 of the 12 catchments studied. In terms of contribution rates, human activity has been shown as the major contributor to the streamflow decrease (60–90%) compared to climate change (10–50%). By comparing the contribution results derived by possible combinations of attribution method and evapotranspiration estimation, the variability due to different Budyko-based methods being used seems to be related to geographical location and climate. Although the spatial pattern of variability due to different estimations of evapotranspiration is not obvious, it is necessary to consider the uncertainties induced when launching contribution analysis over specific regions.
更新日期：2021-09-15
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