This research aims to determine the belief-based drought perceptions and attitudes of farmers in Şanlıurfa, which is in a semi-arid climate regime, and the factors affecting them. The surveys were conducted through face-to-face interviews with farmers selected by a simple random sampling method in 2020. Analyses were performed with ordinal logit regression in STATA. According to the results, while the effects of settlement location, land size, age, and the size of the household were statistically significant to farmers seeing drought, which is the dependent variable, as caused by fate, the effects of income, experience, and education level were insignificant. For the probability of predicting drought for each independent variable in the sequence analysis, the highest probabilities were found among farmers in the Harran Plain, with 21–30 years of experience, from a household of one to four people, with the land area between 5.1 and 10.0 hectares, aged 61 and above, who were primary school graduates, and who had an annual income of less than 25,000 TL ($3561). The subject of drought should be given more place in religious education in the entire research area by prioritizing these groups. It would also be beneficial to organize workshops for the farmers by agricultural consultants, where Islamic scholars would be present to support science and knowledge in terms of faith. This study is the first in this context in Turkey and provides useful data to policymakers for drought-mitigation policies.

中文翻译：

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干旱是命运造成的吗？土耳其 GAP-Şanlıurfa 灌区农户认知及影响因素分析

本研究旨在确定 Şanlıurfa 处于半干旱气候制度下的农民基于信仰的干旱认知和态度，以及影响他们的因素。调查是通过对 2020 年通过简单随机抽样方法选择的农民进行面对面访谈进行的。在 STATA 中使用序数逻辑回归进行分析。结果表明，虽然定居点位置、土地面积、年龄和家庭规模对农民干旱的影响具有统计显着性，这是由命运、收入、经验和经验等因素引起的因变量。教育水平微不足道。对于序列分析中每个自变量预测干旱的概率，在哈兰平原的农民中发现的概率最高，21-30年经验，1-4口之家，土地面积5.1-10.0公顷，61岁及以上，小学毕业，年收入低于25,000里拉（ 3561 美元）。通过优先考虑这些群体，应该在整个研究领域的宗教教育中更多地考虑干旱问题。由农业顾问为农民组织讲习班也将是有益的，伊斯兰学者将在场以支持信仰方面的科学和知识。这项研究是土耳其在这方面的第一个研究，为决策者提供了有用的数据来制定减缓干旱政策。并且年收入低于 25,000 里拉（3561 美元）。通过优先考虑这些群体，应该在整个研究领域的宗教教育中更多地考虑干旱问题。由农业顾问为农民组织讲习班也将是有益的，伊斯兰学者将在场以支持信仰方面的科学和知识。这项研究是土耳其在这方面的第一个研究，为决策者提供了有用的数据来制定减缓干旱政策。并且年收入低于 25,000 里拉（3561 美元）。通过优先考虑这些群体，应该在整个研究领域的宗教教育中更多地考虑干旱问题。由农业顾问为农民组织讲习班也将是有益的，伊斯兰学者将在场以支持信仰方面的科学和知识。这项研究是土耳其在这方面的第一个研究，为决策者提供了有用的数据来制定减缓干旱政策。