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Establishing an onshore pipeline incident database to support operational risk management in Brazil - Part 2: Bowtie proposition and statistics of failure
Process Safety and Environmental Protection ( IF 7.8 ) Pub Date : 2021-09-08 , DOI: 10.1016/j.psep.2021.09.003
Douglas Thiago S. Alves 1 , Gilson Brito Alves Lima 2
Affiliation  

In part 1, which is complementary to this article, an appropriate data collection architecture was proposed in order to support the establishment of an onshore pipeline incident database in Brazil. Reflecting the current context of pipeline industry in this country, this structure was built based on the state of art regarding several international databases followed by an interdisciplinary survey submitted to pipeline experts from different areas of specialization. According to their favorability, a criteria was applied in order to select the collection parameters that, finally, compose the proposed architecture. In this second paper (part 2), a bowtie diagram was elaborated inspired on the results obtained in part 1 in order to support the management of onshore pipelines operational risks. In addition to defining causes and consequences, prevention and mitigation barriers along with respective leading and lagging indicators were elucidated based on the literature allowing pipeline operators to monitor the status of these controls over time and contributing to the improvement of their risk management systems. Additionally, failure statistics similar to those presented by international benchmark reports were developed through historical failure data obtained from a Brazilian pipeline operator. Among other metrics, it is reproduced the behavior of failure rates along the period in analysis (from 1978 to 2008), as well as distributions of incidents by categories of causes and exposure (extension) evolution of the pipeline network considered. In sequence, a comparison between Brazilian and international benchmarks failure frequencies is performed. Finally, illegal tapping statistics from 2016 to 2020 are also addressed, indicating some prevention and mitigation measures that were implemented in this period in order to better manage operational risks associated with pipeline theft.



中文翻译:

建立陆上管道事故数据库以支持巴西的操作风险管理 - 第 2 部分:Bowtie 命题和故障统计

在作为本文的补充的第 1 部分中,提出了一种适当的数据收集架构,以支持在巴西建立陆上管道事故数据库。该结构反映了该国管道行业的当前背景,基于多个国际数据库的最新技术水平,随后向不同专业领域的管道专家提交了跨学科调查。根据他们的喜好,应用一个标准来选择收集参数,最终构成所提议的架构。在第二篇论文(第 2 部分)中,根据第 1 部分中获得的结果详细阐述了领结图,以支持陆上管道运营风险的管理。除了定义原因和结果,根据文献阐明了预防和缓解障碍以及各自的领先和滞后指标,允许管道运营商随着时间的推移监控这些控制的状态,并有助于改进其风险管理系统。此外,通过从巴西管道运营商获得的历史故障数据开发了类似于国际基准报告中提供的故障统计数据。在其他指标中,它再现了分析期间(从 1978 年到 2008 年)的故障率行为,以及按原因类别和所考虑管道网络的暴露(扩展)演变分类的事件分布。依次对巴西和国际基准故障频率进行比较。最后,

更新日期:2021-09-20
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