This paper aims to explore the factors associated with the return intentions of Brazilians in Japan. It examines hypotheses drawn from two economic perspectives of migration, neoclassical economics (NE) and the New Economics of Labour Migration (NELM) using survey data obtained from the Shizuoka Prefecture. The degree of sociocultural integration and immigrants’ ties to Brazil and Japan are also considered. The findings support both NE and NELM, suggesting that Brazilian immigrants in Japan are a diverse group, differing substantially in their migration motivations and family strategies. However, one-third of immigrants are undecided about whether to stay or return. In the future, the number of intended stayers is expected to increase as schooling in Japan is one of the strongest determinants of intention to stay. Future research should focus on the transitions of immigrants’ return intentions, as the indecisiveness may exert a negative impact on immigrant children's integration.

中文翻译：

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留下还是回归？巴西移民在日本的回迁意向

本文旨在探讨与日本巴西人回国意愿相关的因素。它使用从静冈县获得的调查数据检验了从移民的两个经济角度得出的假设，即新古典经济学 (NE) 和劳务移民新经济学 (NELM)。还考虑了社会文化融合程度和移民与巴西和日本的联系。研究结果支持 NE 和 NELM，表明在日本的巴西移民是一个多元化的群体，他们的移民动机和家庭策略存在很大差异。然而，三分之一的移民不确定是留下还是返回。未来，由于在日本上学是决定留意意愿的最重要因素之一，预计留宿者的数量将会增加。