ABSTRACT

The dimension of time has been neglected in the practice and research of public administration for decades. By developing a framework to guide the quantification and operationalization of the crisis lifecycle model, this study explores how the timing, sequence, and tempo of government policy response impact policy effectiveness. Quantitative analysis of COVID-19-related data in 152 countries/regions from 1 January to 31 July 2020 shows that direct policies on curtailing infection sources in the early outbreak stage are key to controlling the pandemic. This article concludes by identifying different time tactics that may help policymakers improve strategic decision-making.

摘要

几十年来，时间维度在公共行政实践和研究中一直被忽视。通过开发一个框架来指导危机生命周期模型的量化和操作化，本研究探讨了政府政策响应的时间、顺序和节奏如何影响政策有效性。对 2020 年 1 月 1 日至 7 月 31 日 152 个国家/地区的 COVID-19 相关数据的定量分析表明，在疫情暴发初期采取直接遏制感染源的政策是控制大流行的关键。本文最后确定了可能有助于决策者改进战略决策的不同时间策略。