Using six waves of the Swedish National Election Studies (SNES) survey data, we investigate the determinants of attitudes towards globalization barriers (trade and immigration) and how important these attitudes are in how people vote. In line with the existing results in the literature, we find that more educated and richer voters support freer trade and more immigration. We also find that conservative voters in Sweden are more likely to prefer freer trade but higher immigration barriers. Once various economic and demographic determinants of globalization barrier preferences along with voters’ ideologies on a liberal-conservative spectrum are controlled for in the analysis of voting behavior, trade barrier preferences lose their statistical significance while attitudes towards immigration barriers remain significant. This suggests that immigration attitudes affect voting behavior through channels involving identity-driven factors that are different from the channels through which more traditional electoral issues, such as trade barriers, work. Focusing on the anti-globalization Swedish Democrats, we confirm that voters with a greater preference for barriers to immigration were more likely to switch their votes to this party from the 2014 to the 2018 election.

使用六波瑞典全国选举研究 (SNES) 调查数据，我们调查了对全球化障碍（贸易和移民）的态度的决定因素，以及这些态度在人们如何投票中的重要性。与文献中的现有结果一致，我们发现受过教育和富裕的选民支持更自由的贸易和更多的移民。我们还发现瑞典的保守派选民更有可能更喜欢自由贸易但更高的移民壁垒。一旦在分析投票行为时控制了全球化壁垒偏好的各种经济和人口决定因素以及自由保守派选民的意识形态，贸易壁垒偏好就会失去其统计意义，而对移民壁垒的态度仍然显着。这表明移民态度通过涉及身份驱动因素的渠道影响投票行为，这些渠道不同于贸易壁垒等更传统的选举问题的运作渠道。关注反全球化的瑞典民主党，我们确认，在 2014 年至 2018 年的选举中，对移民壁垒有更大偏好的选民更有可能将选票转向该党派。