Philosophers have argued that people ought to change their graded beliefs via Bayes’ rule. Recent work in psychology indicates that people sometimes violate that rule by attending to explanatory factors. Results from computational modeling suggest that such violations may actually be rational.

中文翻译：

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解释如何引导信念改变

哲学家们争辩说，人们应该通过贝叶斯法则来改变他们分级的信念。最近的心理学研究表明，人们有时会通过关注解释性因素来违反该规则。计算模型的结果表明，这种违规行为实际上可能是合理的。