This paper assesses the economic impact of the Japan-EU Economic Partnership Agreement (JEEPA) on all EU member states as well as Japan. The novelty of this study is that it refers to all EU countries and provides an overview of the expected output effects of JEEPA for all member states in a detailed sectoral breakdown. This impact is investigated using the Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) framework. Calculations revealed that economic returns from JEEPA vary among the EU countries. Some of the more highly developed EU countries will experience beneficial effects from tariff reductions to a greater extent than others, while some of the newer, less-developed EU members will experience losses, caused by the lower competitiveness of these countries. Beneficial effects in the EU countries are expected mainly in the primary sector industries like meat and animal products, leather, grains, and crops; while in Japan, economic gains are expected in the motor vehicle and transport equipment industries. Despite the overall optimism accompanying the signing of the JEEPA, it is worth paying attention to the sectors that are expected to shrink as a result.

本文评估了日本-欧盟经济伙伴关系协定 (JEEPA) 对所有欧盟成员国以及日本的经济影响。本研究的新颖之处在于它涉及所有欧盟国家，并在详细的部门细分中概述了 JEEPA 对所有成员国的预期产出影响。使用可计算一般均衡 (CGE) 框架来研究这种影响。计算表明，JEEPA 的经济回报因欧盟国家而异。一些较发达的欧盟国家将比其他国家从关税削减中获得更大程度的有利影响，而一些较新的、欠发达的欧盟成员国将因这些国家竞争力较低而遭受损失。预计欧盟国家的有利影响主要集中在肉类和动物产品、皮革、谷物和农作物等初级产业；而在日本，预计汽车和运输设备行业将获得经济增长。尽管 JEEPA 签署后总体乐观，但值得关注的是预计将因此萎缩的行业。