Purpose

This study aims to apply the modified Walker-Unger model to show the degree of attractiveness of a country for Mexican-based money launderers to send their illicit funds for the 2000–2015 time period.

Design/methodology/approach

The modified Walker-Unger model is used to conduct the analysis, as it combines several independent variables related to an illicit financial activity. These allow the researcher to investigate the attractiveness of a market to money launderers and the possible economic effects of money laundering. In total, 13 categories of indicators were used, namely, gross national product per capita; banking secrecy; government attitude; society for worldwide interbank financial telecommunication membership; financial deposits; conflict; corruption; Egmont group membership; language; trade; culture, colonial background; and physical distance.

Findings

Model results suggest the preferred destinations for Mexican-based money launderers from 2000 to 2015 were Bermuda (i.e. from 2000–2004), Canada (i.e. in 2005 and 2006) and Monaco (i.e. from 2007–2015).

Research limitations/implications

Timing and availability of reliable data after 2015.

Practical implications

Aids in continuing to empirically validate the Walker-Unger model. There is little literature on models that quantify money laundering activity.

Social implications

May aid policymakers in targeting anti-money laundering policy to more relevant countries.

Originality/value

The first empirical investigation that looks to quantify money launderer activity in Mexico. Contributes to the limited literature of quantitative investigations on money laundering.

中文翻译：

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估计墨西哥洗钱资金的目的地：修改后的 Walker-Unger 模型的应用

目的

本研究旨在应用修改后的 Walker-Unger 模型来展示一个国家对墨西哥洗钱者在 2000 年至 2015 年期间发送非法资金的吸引力程度。

设计/方法/方法

修改后的 Walker-Unger 模型用于进行分析，因为它结合了与非法金融活动相关的几个独立变量。这些使研究人员能够调查市场对洗钱者的吸引力以及洗钱可能带来的经济影响。总共使用了13类指标，即人均国民生产总值；银行保密；政府态度；全球银行间金融电信会员协会；金融存款；冲突; 腐败; 埃格蒙特集团成员资格；语; 贸易; 文化、殖民背景；和物理距离。

发现

模型结果表明，2000 年至 2015 年墨西哥洗钱者的首选目的地是百慕大（即 2000-2004 年）、加拿大（即 2005 年和 2006 年）和摩纳哥（即 2007-2015 年）。

研究限制/影响

2015 年后可靠数据的时间和可用性。

实际影响

有助于继续凭经验验证 Walker-Unger 模型。关于量化洗钱活动的模型的文献很少。

社会影响

可能有助于政策制定者将反洗钱政策定位到更相关的国家。

原创性/价值

第一项旨在量化墨西哥洗钱活动的实证调查。对关于洗钱的定量调查的有限文献做出了贡献。