As a natural phenomenon, thunder and lightning have a major impact on human production and life. As an important part of lightning protection technology, the main task of the lightning mobile positioning system is to detect and determine the location of lightning and, at the same time, provide more accurate lightning discharge parameters for lightning research. It is a new technology that serves the entire society and is in urgent need of development. This paper aims to study the trend prediction of thunderstorm cloud based on the monitoring data of the thunder and lightning mobile positioning system. In this thesis, the inverse distance-weighted interpolation method can be used to determine the lightning area and the principle of lightning monitoring and positioning, and the classification of lightning and the practical significance of lightning mobile positioning system monitoring are also studied. Finally, the Hurst index of this paper can reveal the trend elements in the time series well through the experiment, so as to judge the lightning strikes. At the same time, it also introduces everyone’s satisfaction survey on the lightning mobile positioning system. The results of this paper show that the lightning mobile positioning system has been widely used in our country’s meteorological monitoring stations, and it plays a very important role in our national defense lightning strikes and effectively realizes the lightning strike prediction in the monitoring process, which can better enable the competent department to take timely and accurate measures to prevent lightning strikes. Experimental analysis shows that the accuracy of the lightning mobile positioning system has reached 92%, and the practicability has reached 88%.

中文翻译：

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基于雷电移动定位系统监测数据的雷暴云趋势预报

雷电作为一种自然现象，对人类生产生活产生重大影响。作为防雷技术的重要组成部分，雷电移动定位系统的主要任务是检测和确定雷电位置，同时为雷电研究提供更准确的雷电放电参数。它是一项服务全社会、急需发展的新技术。本文旨在研究基于雷电移动定位系统监测数据的雷暴云趋势预测。本论文采用逆距离加权插值法确定雷电区域及雷电监测定位原理，并对雷电的分类和雷电移动定位系统监测的实际意义进行了研究。最后，本文的 Hurst 指数可以通过实验很好地揭示时间序列中的趋势元素，从而对雷击进行判断。同时也介绍了大家对闪电移动定位系统的满意度调查。本文研究结果表明，雷电移动定位系统已在我国气象监测站得到广泛应用，在我国国防雷击中发挥着非常重要的作用，有效实现了监测过程中的雷击预报。更好地使主管部门能够及时准确地采取措施防止雷击。