Forest ecology traditionally focuses on plant growth and survival, leaving seed production as a major demographic process lacking a framework for how it will be affected by global change. Understanding plant reproductive responses to changing climate is complicated by masting, the annually variable seed production synchronized within populations. Predicting trends in masting is crucial, because masting impacts seed predation and pollination enough to override simple trends in mean seed production. Proximate mechanisms of seed production patterns in perennial plants are gathered to identify processes through which masting may be affected by a changing environment. Predicting trends in masting will require understanding the mechanisms that cause predictable seed failure after high-seed years, and the stochastic mechanisms that synchronize individuals in high-seed years.

中文翻译：

---

全球变化将如何影响植物繁殖？桅杆播种趋势框架

森林生态学传统上侧重于植物的生长和生存，将种子生产作为一个主要的人口过程，缺乏一个框架来说明它将如何受到全球变化的影响。了解植物对气候变化的生殖反应是复杂的，因为每年变化的种子产量在种群内同步。预测肥大趋势至关重要，因为肥大对种子捕食和授粉的影响足以超越平均种子产量的简单趋势。收集多年生植物种子生产模式的近似机制，以确定肥大可能受到环境变化影响的过程。预测肥大趋势将需要了解在高种子年份后导致可预测的种子失败的机制，