当前位置: X-MOL 学术Weather Clim. Extrem. › 论文详情
Our official English website, www.x-mol.net, welcomes your feedback! (Note: you will need to create a separate account there.)
Determinants of farmers' perceptions of climate variability, mitigation, and adaptation strategies in the central highlands of Kenya
Weather and Climate Extremes ( IF 6.1 ) Pub Date : 2021-08-19 , DOI: 10.1016/j.wace.2021.100374
Franklin S. Mairura 1 , Collins M. Musafiri 2 , Milka N. Kiboi 1 , Joseph M. Macharia 3 , Onesmus K. Ng'etich 2 , Chris A. Shisanya 3 , Jeremiah M. Okeyo 1 , Daniel N. Mugendi 2 , Elizabeth A. Okwuosa 4 , Felix K. Ngetich 5
Affiliation  

Climate variability in recent decades has intensified in the SSA region, which makes it imperative to explore adequate adaptation and mitigation strategies to offset its current and future adverse impacts. Farmers' perception of climate variability can significantly influence their coping, mitigation, and adaptation potential. This study assessed farmers' perceptions of indicators and consequences of climate variability and explored factors influencing their perception of climate variability and adoption of climate coping strategies. A cross-sectional survey design was used to sample 300 farmers in the Central Highlands of Kenya. Binary logistic regression models were used to determine factors that influenced the perception of climate variability, adaptation, and mitigation strategies based on three predictor sets, including socioeconomic, institutional, and environmental dimensions. Three climate adaptation and mitigation strategy groups adopted by farmers, including crop adjustment, nutrient management, and soil and water management practices, were subjected to binary logistic regression models. The core determinants of farmers' perception of climate variability included tropical livestock unit (TLU, p = 0.008), access to agricultural training (p = 0.022), change in agricultural production (p = 0.005), change in forest cover (p = 0.014), soil fertility status (p = 0.039), and perceptions of soil erosion (p = 0.001). Most farmers reported changes in all climatic indicators during the decade preceding the survey, including increasing temperature (80%), reduced precipitation (78%), and declining season lengths (76%). There were significant relationships between climate variability perceptions and coping strategies, with the soil and water management set showing stronger links with climate perceptions compared to crop adjustment and nutrient management strategies. Critical mitigation and adaptation strategies to cope with climate variability implemented by farmers included the use of fertilizer and manure in combination (71%), terracing (66%), and crop rotation (60%). Farmers' perceptions significantly determined the adoption of climate-smart agriculture technologies, and environmental determinants strongly influenced climate variability coping strategies. Therefore, while formulating climate sustainability-related policies, farmers' perceptions should be considered.



中文翻译:

肯尼亚中部高地农民对气候变率、减缓和适应战略看法的决定因素

近几十年来,SSA 地区的气候变异加剧,这使得探索适当的适应和缓解策略以抵消其当前和未来的不利影响势在必行。农民对气候变率的看法可以显着影响他们的应对、减缓和适应潜力。本研究评估了农民对气候变化的指标和后果的看法,并探讨了影响他们对气候变化的看法和采用气候应对策略的因素。横断面调查设计用于对肯尼亚中部高地的 300 名农民进行抽样。二元逻辑回归模型被用来确定影响气候变异、适应和缓解策略感知的因素,基于三个预测变量集,包括社会经济、体制和环境方面。农民采用的三个气候适应和缓解策略组,包括作物调整、养分管理和水土管理实践,都受到二元逻辑回归模型的影响。农民对气候变化感知的核心决定因素包括热带牲畜单位(TLU,p = 0.008)、获得农业培训的机会(p = 0.022)、农业生产的变化(p = 0.005)、森林覆盖的变化(p = 0.014) )、土壤肥力状况 (p = 0.039) 和对土壤侵蚀的看法 (p = 0.001)。大多数农民报告了调查前十年所有气候指标的变化,包括温度升高 (80%)、降水减少 (78%) 和季节长度缩短 (76%)。气候变化认知与应对策略之间存在显着关系,与作物调整和养分管理策略相比,土壤和水管理集显示出与气候认知的更强联系。农民实施的应对气候变化的关键缓解和适应战略包括结合使用化肥和粪便 (71%)、梯田 (66%) 和轮作 (60%)。农民的看法在很大程度上决定了气候智能型农业技术的采用,而环境决定因素对气候变化应对策略产生了强烈影响。因此,在制定气候可持续性相关政策时,应考虑农民的看法。与作物调整和养分管理策略相比,土壤和水管理集显示出与气候感知更强的联系。农民实施的应对气候变化的关键缓解和适应战略包括结合使用化肥和粪便 (71%)、梯田 (66%) 和轮作 (60%)。农民的看法在很大程度上决定了气候智能型农业技术的采用,而环境决定因素对气候变化应对策略产生了强烈影响。因此,在制定气候可持续性相关政策时,应考虑农民的看法。与作物调整和养分管理策略相比,土壤和水管理集显示出与气候感知更强的联系。农民实施的应对气候变化的关键缓解和适应战略包括结合使用化肥和粪便 (71%)、梯田 (66%) 和轮作 (60%)。农民的看法在很大程度上决定了气候智能型农业技术的采用,而环境决定因素对气候变化应对策略产生了强烈影响。因此,在制定气候可持续性相关政策时,应考虑农民的看法。农民实施的应对气候变化的关键缓解和适应战略包括结合使用化肥和粪便 (71%)、梯田 (66%) 和轮作 (60%)。农民的看法在很大程度上决定了气候智能型农业技术的采用,而环境决定因素对气候变化应对策略产生了强烈影响。因此,在制定气候可持续性相关政策时,应考虑农民的看法。农民实施的应对气候变化的关键缓解和适应战略包括结合使用化肥和粪便 (71%)、梯田 (66%) 和轮作 (60%)。农民的看法在很大程度上决定了气候智能型农业技术的采用,环境决定因素对气候变化应对策略产生了强烈影响。因此,在制定气候可持续性相关政策时,应考虑农民的看法。

更新日期:2021-08-20
down
wechat
bug