ABSTRACT

The study investigates different ways in which urbanization and its tempo influence terrorist activity. In line with other researchers investigating nonlinear effects on instability, we suggest that the influence of both of them is nonlinear, with quadratic regression being more appropriate for urbanization level impact and interaction between urbanization and its tempo being more appropriate to measure the tempo’s influence. Nonlinearity has been confirmed in the robustness section of the paper, in which an alternative dependent variable distribution and a greater set of control variables were used. The findings are in line with those of other researchers who found that societies, in the process of modernization, demonstrate heavier instability than societies before modernization or those after the modernization period.

摘要

该研究调查了城市化及其节奏影响恐怖活动的不同方式。与其他研究非线性对不稳定性影响的研究人员一致，我们认为两者的影响都是非线性的，二次回归更适合城市化水平的影响，城市化与其节奏之间的相互作用更适合衡量节奏的影响。非线性已在论文的稳健性部分得到证实，其中使用了替代因变量分布和更多的控制变量集。研究结果与其他研究人员的发现一致，他们认为现代化进程中的社会比现代化前或现代化后的社会表现出更大的不稳定性。