ABSTRACT

Storm Xynthia (2010) brought to the fore marine submersion as a great concern to French authorities and communities. This storm illustrates how a single major event can have long-lasting effects on climate risk management. To discern this effect, we conduct two studies analyzing the emergence and evolution of concerns related to marine submersion in French national and regional newspapers prior to and after the storm (2005–2018). In Study 1, we examine trends in issue coverage and how “marine submersion” was appropriated by French media discourse over the selected period, identifying and segmenting specific topical sequences. In Study 2, a computer-assisted content analysis of 260 articles highlights a dichotomy of themes before and after Storm Xynthia. Articles published prior to Xynthia (2005–2009) warned of marine submersion among the expected impacts of climate change. Those published just after Xynthia (2010–2013) present highly structured and technical descriptions of national risk management policies. In recent years (2014–2018), articles focus on local stakeholders’ challenge to national risk management policies, described as too far removed from local dynamics. Our studies reveal the emergence and amplification, via public debate in French newspaper media, of “marine submersion” as a hazard, and the objectification of the risk through Storm Xynthia.

摘要

Storm Xynthia (2010) 使法国当局和社区非常关注海洋淹没问题。这场风暴说明了单个重大事件如何对气候风险管理产生长期影响。为了辨别这种影响，我们进行了两项研究，分析了风暴（2005-2018 年）前后法国国家和地区报纸中与海洋淹没相关问题的出现和演变。在研究 1 中，我们研究了问题报道的趋势以及法国媒体在选定时期内如何利用“海洋淹没”，识别和分割特定的主题序列。在研究 2 中，对 260 篇文章的计算机辅助内容分析突出了 Storm Xynthia 之前和之后的主题二分法。在 Xynthia (2005-2009) 之前发表的文章警告说，气候变化的预期影响中会出现海洋淹没。在 Xynthia（2010-2013 年）之后发布的那些对国家风险管理政策进行了高度结构化和技术性的描述。近年来（2014-2018 年），文章关注当地利益相关者对国家风险管理政策的挑战，被描述为与当地动态相去甚远。我们的研究通过法国报纸媒体的公开辩论揭示了“海洋淹没”作为一种危害的出现和放大，以及通过风暴辛西娅对风险的客观化。文章关注当地利益相关者对国家风险管理政策的挑战，被描述为与当地动态相去甚远。我们的研究通过法国报纸媒体的公开辩论揭示了“海洋淹没”作为一种危害的出现和放大，以及通过风暴辛西娅对风险的客观化。文章关注当地利益相关者对国家风险管理政策的挑战，被描述为与当地动态相去甚远。我们的研究通过法国报纸媒体的公开辩论揭示了“海洋淹没”作为一种危害的出现和放大，以及通过风暴辛西娅对风险的客观化。