Purpose

Research assessing the relationship between COVID-19 lockdown restrictions and crime is growing. Attention to the nuances of burglary and intra-state variation in lockdown restrictions has received less attention. The current study contributes to this ongoing body of research by investigating the relationship between COVID-19 lockdown restrictions and burglary across four cities in Michigan.

Method

We use an interrupted time-series design to analyze weekly counts of residential and non-residential burglary from 2018 to 2020 in four Michigan cities: Detroit, Grand Rapids, Kalamazoo, and Lansing.

Results

Findings demonstrate that the relationship between the lockdown and weekly counts of burglary vary by the type of burglary and the city being analyzed. Residential burglaries in half of the sampled cities declined during the Michigan lockdown order. Commercial burglaries increased during the lockdown order in only one of the four cities examined.

Conclusions

City-wide crime trends following lockdown orders during the pandemic are not shared equally and vary according to the type of burglary under examination. In studying the effects of COVID-19 on crime, researchers should account for crime- and city-specific dynamics which may influence crime trends. Further, practitioners and policymakers should consider the impact of similar lockdown orders on burglary trends during public health emergencies.

中文翻译：

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检查 COVID-19 对密歇根州住宅和商业盗窃案的直接影响：中断的时间序列分析

目的

评估 COVID-19 封锁限制与犯罪之间关系的研究越来越多。对入室盗窃和州内锁定限制差异的细微差别的关注较少。当前的研究通过调查密歇根州四个城市的 COVID-19 锁定限制与盗窃之间的关系，为正在进行的研究做出了贡献。

方法

我们使用中断时间序列设计来分析 2018 年至 2020 年密歇根州四个城市（底特律、大急流城、卡拉马祖和兰辛）每周的住宅和非住宅盗窃案数量。

结果

调查结果表明，封锁与每周入室盗窃数量之间的关系因入室盗窃类型和所分析的城市而异。在密歇根州封锁令期间，一半抽样城市的住宅盗窃案有所下降。在所检查的四个城市中，只有一个城市的商业盗窃案在封锁令期间有所增加。

结论

大流行期间封锁令后的全市犯罪趋势并不平等，并且根据所检查的入室盗窃类型而有所不同。在研究 COVID-19 对犯罪的影响时，研究人员应考虑可能影响犯罪趋势的犯罪和城市特定动态。此外，从业者和政策制定者应考虑类似的封锁令对突发公共卫生事件期间盗窃趋势的影响。