ABSTRACT

The aim of this paper is to identify the conditions (both technical and non-technical) that determine the development of vacuum tube high-speed train technology. We employ technological roadmapping as a method. With this method, we analyze the planned process of the development of vacuum tube high-speed train technology in Poland. We have identified 65 conditions. They have been segregated into 4 groups (namely, legal, technological, economic, and social) and 20 development paths. These conditions are visible in the roadmap picturing the development process of vacuum tube high-speed train technology. Among the identified determinants, technical factors dominate; they relate to line infrastructure, stations, and vehicles. However, the development of technology is determined by legal, economic, and social conditions as well. Our study indicates that the successful implementation of the technology requires the management of all of the determining conditions and the mitigation of the impact of those that may be limited to others. The unveiled connotations among the examined factors can be implied by the decision-makers who are responsible for the development of transport infrastructure and vacuum tube high-speed train technology.

摘要

本文的目的是确定决定真空管高速列车技术发展的条件（技术和非技术）。我们采用技术路线图作为一种方法。利用这种方法，我们分析了波兰真空管高速列车技术发展的规划过程。我们已经确定了 65 种情况。它们被划分为 4 个组（即法律、技术、经济和社会）和 20 条发展路径。这些条件在描绘真空管高速列车技术发展过程的路线图中可见。在确定的决定因素中，技术因素占主导地位；它们与线路基础设施、车站和车辆有关。然而，技术的发展也取决于法律、经济和社会条件。我们的研究表明，该技术的成功实施需要管理所有决定性条件并减轻可能仅限于其他条件的影响。负责交通基础设施和真空管高速列车技术发展的决策者可以暗示所考察的因素中所揭示的内涵。