ABSTRACT

Research on large-scale land investments (LSLIs) can provide valuable insights into the support for developmental nationalism in Tanzania today. ‘Developmental nationalism’ is ‘a creative variant of liberation’, which purports to make ‘Tanzania great again’. The nationalist turn of late President Magufuli was grounded in political ideology and the selective history of the past that swept him to power. However, there is limited research on how political practice around land investments contribute to trust and support for public institutions. This paper makes two key contributions to scholarship on the political economy of LSLIs. First, we examine the messy politics of LSLIs, the failures in design and implementation, and the rise in local support for developmental nationalism in two rural settings in Tanzania. Second, using Latent Class Analysis (LCA), we identify distinct groups of individuals based on their trust in the President, the ruling party (CCM), the Tanzania Investment Centre (TIC) and support for LSLIs. We define political trust as ‘an evaluative orientation towards an institution or government, based on people's normative expectations’.

摘要

对大规模土地投资 (LSLI) 的研究可以为当今坦桑尼亚对发展民族主义的支持提供宝贵的见解。“发展民族主义”是“解放的创造性变体”，旨在让“坦桑尼亚再次伟大”。已故总统马古富力的民族主义转向是基于政治意识形态和过去让他上台的选择性历史。然而，关于土地投资的政治实践如何促进对公共机构的信任和支持的研究有限。本文对 LSLI 的政治经济学研究做出了两个重要贡献。首先，我们研究了 LSLI 的混乱政治、设计和实施的失败，以及在坦桑尼亚的两个农村环境中地方对发展民族主义的支持的增加。第二，使用潜在类别分析 (LCA)，我们根据他们对总统、执政党 (CCM)、坦桑尼亚投资中心 (TIC) 的信任和对 LSLI 的支持来识别不同的个人群体。我们将政治信任定义为“基于人们的规范期望对机构或政府的评价取向”。