Purpose

Egyptian youth played a central role in the Arab Spring (AS) uprisings, demanding bread, justice and opportunities. This paper examines the perceptions of young Egyptians about the AS through their responses on the economic, institutional and sociopolitical conditions in the pre-AS and post-AS periods.

Design/methodology/approach

The empirical analysis relies on a micro-level dataset extracted from the SAHWA Youth Survey. The estimations are carried out through the bivariate ordered probit model.

Findings

The results reveal that the perceptions about the AS-related outcomes are not uniform, and that social values and ideological characteristics matter more than the standard socioeconomic attributes in comprehending the responses. They indicate that individuals with secularist, non-traditionalist and gender equality inclinations have generally formed more favorable perceptions about the AS-related changes. Also, the results suggest that the AS has generated propitious perceived conditions for further global connection, relative to the Arab and Islamic ties. They show that the perceptions of individuals who place credence in entrepreneurial attitude have been relatively unfavorable vis-à-vis the post-AS conditions.

Originality/value

The findings underscore the importance of comprehending the perceptions about the AS-related outcomes. They imply that the AS has produced “winners” and “losers,” and has laid down the basis for social transformations in Egypt.

中文翻译：

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阿拉伯之春是否导致了经济、制度和社会政治的变化？通过埃及青年的认知进行实证分析

目的

埃及青年在阿拉伯之春 (AS) 起义中发挥了核心作用，他们要求面包、正义和机会。本文通过他们对 AS 前和 AS 后时期的经济、制度和社会政治条件的反应，考察了年轻埃及人对 AS 的看法。

设计/方法/方法

实证分析依赖于从 SAHWA 青年调查中提取的微观数据集。估计是通过二元有序概率模型进行的。

发现

结果表明，对 AS 相关结果的看法并不统一，在理解响应时，社会价值观和意识形态特征比标准的社会经济属性更重要。他们表明，具有世俗主义、非传统主义和性别平等倾向的个人通常对与 AS 相关的变化形成了更有利的看法。此外，结果表明，相对于阿拉伯和伊斯兰关系，AS 为进一步的全球联系创造了有利的感知条件。他们表明，与后 AS 条件相比，信任企业家态度的个人的看法相对不利。

原创性/价值

研究结果强调了理解对 AS 相关结果的看法的重要性。它们暗示 AS 产生了“赢家”和“输家”，并为埃及的社会变革奠定了基础。