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Using the Fuzzy Clustering and Principle Component Analysis for Assessing the Impact of Potential Evapotranspiration Calculation Method On the Modified RDI Index
Water Resources Management ( IF 3.9 ) Pub Date : 2021-07-23 , DOI: 10.1007/s11269-021-02910-7
Abdol Rassoul Zarei 1 , Mohammad Reza Mahmoudi 2 , Ali Shabani 3
Affiliation  

The modified reconnaissance drought index (RDIe) which is a modified version of RDI is presented for assessing drought conditions with an emphasis on agricultural drought. The potential evapotranspiration (PET) and effective rainfall are required climatic variables to calculate RDIe. Although the FAO Penman–Monteith (FPM) equation is the reference method for determining the PET, due to the need for data of a large number of climatic variables it is difficult to use in areas with shortage climatic data. Therefore, in this research, using the fuzzy clustering (FC) and principle component analysis (PCA) methods, the influence of PET calculation methods including FPM (used as reference method), FAO Penman (FP), Hargreaves-Samani (HS), Blaney-Criddle (BC), Turc (Tu), Jensen-Haise (JH), Priestley–Taylor (PT) and FAO24 Radiation (Ra) methods on the RDIe (in 1, 3 and 12-month time scales) was assessed. In this study the climatic data series of 5 stations in Fars province, Iran from 1989 to 2018 was used. Based on the results of PCA model, in short-term time scales (1 and 3-month), the calculated RDIe values based on the HS method (at 100% of stations) and in long-term time scale (annual) based on the FP method (at 60% of stations) had the highest correlation with RDIe based on the FPM method. According to the results of FC method, in 1-month time scale, the values of RDIe using PT and HS methods (at 100% and 80% of selected stations, respectively), in 3-month time scale, the values of RDIe using PT, HS and Ra methods (at 100% of stations) and in annual time scale, the values of RDIe using FP method (at 60% of stations) had the highest similarities with the values of RDIe using FPM. Therefore, it is recommended to replace the FPM method with HS (in 1 and 3-month time scales) and FP (in 12-month time scales) methods in areas with minimum available meteorological data.



中文翻译:

使用模糊聚类和主成分分析评估潜在蒸散量计算方法对修正 RDI 指数的影响

修正的侦察干旱指数 (RDIe) 是 RDI 的修正版本,用于评估干旱状况,重点是农业干旱。潜在蒸散量 (PET) 和有效降雨量是计算 RDIe 所需的气候变量。虽然FAO Penman-Monteith (FPM)方程是确定PET的参考方法,但由于需要大量气候变量的数据,在气候数据缺乏的地区难以使用。因此,在本研究中,使用模糊聚类(FC)和主成分分析(PCA)方法,PET计算方法的影响包括FPM(用作参考方法)、FAO Penman(FP)、Hargreaves-Samani(HS)、 Blaney-Criddle (BC)、Turc (Tu)、Jensen-Haise (JH)、对 RDIe(1、3 和 12 个月的时间尺度)上的 Priestley-Taylor (PT) 和 FAO24 辐射 (Ra) 方法进行了评估。本研究使用伊朗法尔斯省 5 个站点 1989 年至 2018 年的气候数据系列。基于 PCA 模型的结果,在短期时间尺度(1 个月和 3 个月),基于 HS 方法(在 100% 的站点)和长期时间尺度(年)的计算 RDIe 值基于FP 方法(在 60% 的站点)与基于 FPM 方法的 RDIe 的相关性最高。根据FC方法的结果,在1个月的时间尺度上,使用PT和HS方法的RDIe值(分别在100%和80%的选定站台),在3个月的时间尺度上,使用PT和HS方法的RDIe值PT、HS 和 Ra 方法(在 100% 的台站)和年度时间尺度,使用 FP 方法的 RDIe 值(在 60% 的站点)与使用 FPM 的 RDIe 值具有最高的相似性。因此,建议在可用气象数据最少的地区用 HS(1 个月和 3 个月时间尺度)和 FP(12 个月时间尺度)方法代替 FPM 方法。

更新日期:2021-07-24
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