The Mexican government has been decreasing its participation as the main investor in the Mexican economy, but it has been increasing its current spending in the different states of the country. This behaviour has influenced the slow economic growth of Mexico in the period 1999–2019. However, the effects of these spending decisions have had a heterogeneous effect on the growth levels of Mexican states. The aim of this paper is to identify these effects by considering the impact that a federal entity generates on its neighbours (push-out effect) and the benefits it receives from its close neighbours (push-in effect) when there are spillovers of this economic growth. The methodology used to analyse the relationship between economic growth and public spending makes use of an econometric model with Spatial Autoregressive Vectors (SpVAR) to test the existing causal relationships. With the SpVAR model we can show the spatial effects of interaction between the thirty-two states that make up the Mexican geography in the period 1999–2019 and to determine spatial spreading and growth causality. The results obtained make it possible to establish that economic growth spreads from one federal entity to another over time and that public spending does not have a fundamental influence on this growth, due to the strong reduction in investment spending.

墨西哥政府一直在减少其作为墨西哥经济主要投资者的参与度，但一直在增加其在该国不同州的当前支出。这种行为影响了墨西哥在 1999-2019 年期间缓慢的经济增长。然而，这些支出决定的影响对墨西哥各州的增长水平产生了不同的影响。本文的目的是通过考虑联邦实体对其邻国产生的影响（推出效应）以及它从其近邻那里获得的利益（推入效应）来确定这些影响。生长。用于分析经济增长与公共支出之间关系的方法利用具有空间自回归向量 (SpVAR) 的计量经济模型来测试现有的因果关系。使用 SpVAR 模型，我们可以显示 1999 年至 2019 年期间构成墨西哥地理的 32 个州之间相互作用的空间效应，并确定空间传播和增长因果关系。获得的结果可以确定经济增长随着时间的推移从一个联邦实体扩展到另一个实体，并且由于投资支出的大幅减少，公共支出对这种增长没有根本影响。使用 SpVAR 模型，我们可以显示 1999 年至 2019 年期间构成墨西哥地理的 32 个州之间相互作用的空间效应，并确定空间传播和增长因果关系。获得的结果可以确定经济增长随着时间的推移从一个联邦实体扩展到另一个实体，并且由于投资支出的大幅减少，公共支出对这种增长没有根本影响。使用 SpVAR 模型，我们可以显示 1999 年至 2019 年期间构成墨西哥地理的 32 个州之间相互作用的空间效应，并确定空间传播和增长因果关系。获得的结果可以确定经济增长随着时间的推移从一个联邦实体扩展到另一个实体，并且由于投资支出的大幅减少，公共支出对这种增长没有根本影响。