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Communicating Drivers of Environmental Change Through Transdisciplinary Human-Environment Modeling
Earth's Future Pub Date : 2021-07-20 , DOI: 10.1029/2020ef001918
Andrew E.F. Allison 1, 2, 3 , Mark E. Dickson 1 , Karen T. Fisher 1 , Simon F. Thrush 1, 2
Affiliation  

A scientific storytelling approach is used to communicate results from a transdisciplinary model of human-environment estuarine systems for the purpose of developing system understanding and improving transdisciplinary communication. Questionnaires and a media analysis are used to collate public perceptions of observed environmental change in estuarine systems, with an agent-based model developed to investigate the effects of these environmental changes and the complex network of interactions that lead to them. Five scenarios that correspond to the main public interests identified during questionnaire analyses are presented and described using a narrative textual approach; flow diagrams are used to explain model processes and interactions. We test whether the earth science storytelling approach of Phillips (2012), https://doi.org/10.1016/j.earscirev.2012.09.005 can be applied more broadly to transdisciplinary models of complex human-environment systems. Results indicate that all eight storytelling plots of Phillips (2012), https://doi.org/10.1016/j.earscirev.2012.09.005 are applicable to describing pathways within human-environment systems and are useful in succinctly explaining complex interactions within such systems; the crucial initial step is determining what needs to be communicated and subsequently deciding on appropriate plot or plots to convey the story.

中文翻译:

通过跨学科的人与环境建模交流环境变化的驱动因素

使用科学的讲故事方法来交流人类-环境河口系统跨学科模型的结果,目的是发展系统理解和改善跨学科交流。问卷和媒体分析用于整理公众对河口系统观察到的环境变化的看法,并开发了一个基于代理的模型来调查这些环境变化的影响以及导致这些变化的复杂相互作用网络。使用叙述性文本方法呈现和描述了与问卷分析中确定的主要公共利益相对应的五种情景;流程图用于解释模型过程和交互。我们测试了 Phillips (2012) 的地球科学讲故事方法,https://doi.org/10.1016/j。earscirev.2012.09.005 可以更广泛地应用于复杂人类环境系统的跨学科模型。结果表明,Phillips (2012) https://doi.org/10.1016/j.earscirev.2012.09.005 的所有八个讲故事情节都适用于描述人类-环境系统中的路径,并有助于简洁地解释此类系统中的复杂相互作用。系统;关键的初始步骤是确定需要传达的内容,然后决定合适的情节或情节来传达故事。005 适用于描述人类-环境系统内的路径,并有助于简洁地解释此类系统内的复杂相互作用;关键的初始步骤是确定需要传达的内容,然后决定合适的情节或情节来传达故事。005 适用于描述人类-环境系统内的路径,并有助于简洁地解释此类系统内的复杂相互作用;关键的初始步骤是确定需要传达的内容,然后决定合适的情节或情节来传达故事。
更新日期:2021-09-15
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