ABSTRACT

On the centenary of the Treatise on Probability's publication, this paper explores six related topics: varieties of realism; Ramsey's critique; Keynes's response; radical uncertainty; the continuity/discontinuity question regarding Keynes's philosophy and economics; and the possibility of a non-Platonic interpretation of logical probability. Several new perspectives are presented.

中文翻译：

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凯恩斯的概率论：第一世纪

摘要

在《概率论》出版一百周年之际，本文探讨了六个相关主题：现实主义的变体；拉姆齐的批评；凯恩斯的回应；根本的不确定性；关于凯恩斯哲学和经济学的连续性/不连续性问题；以及对逻辑概率的非柏拉图式解释的可能性。提出了几个新的观点。