The increasing attention to social protection in urban settings is not being paired with increasing evidence. This paper offers a single ex-ante evaluation methodology that simulates the monetary poverty effects of changing eligibility conditions, unitary benefits, and the composition of cash transfer programs aimed at expanding coverage in urban areas. We apply this methodology to Ghana, a growing, middle-income country committed to reducing poverty but with a weak social protection system with little urban presence. We show that while a flagship cash transfer program, the Livelihood Empowerment Against Poverty program (LEAP), transfers less than GHS 34 million (US$7.6 million) a year, ending extreme poverty in Ghana would require spending around GHS 1,800 million ($400 million). Efforts to tackle urban poverty through transfers will prove unsuccessful without enough fiscal resources.

中文翻译：

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加纳的城市现金转移和贫困

城市环境中对社会保护的日益关注并没有与越来越多的证据相结合。本文提供了一种单一的事前评估方法，该方法模拟了不断变化的资格条件、单一福利以及旨在扩大城市地区覆盖范围的现金转移计划的组成对货币贫困的影响。我们将这种方法应用于加纳，这是一个不断发展的中等收入国家，致力于减少贫困，但社会保障体系薄弱，城市人口很少。我们表明，虽然一项旗舰现金转移计划，即生计扶贫计划 (LEAP)，每年转移的资金不到 3400 万 GHS（760 万美元），但结束加纳的极端贫困需要花费约 18 亿 GHS（4 亿美元） .