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Political-economic determinants of electoral participation in India
India Review ( IF 0.5 ) Pub Date : 2019-03-15 , DOI: 10.1080/14736489.2019.1605122
Sitakanta Panda

ABSTRACT Elections bestow popular legitimacy to the democracies and, accordingly, electoral participation is an important indicator of the quality of democracy and civic engagement. Understanding what factors drive citizens’ decision to vote is central to the theory and practice of democracy and has implications for voter mobilization efforts of political parties and government agencies. We study the individual level determinants of electoral turnout in the 2004 Lok Sabha elections exploiting a nationally representative India Human Development Survey-2005 (IHDS-2005). We find convincing yet mixed evidence in support of political-institutional factors, and some variables of the psychological, mobilization, socialization, and resource models in explaining voter turnout. Public confidence in state government, newspapers, and judiciary, television watching, participation in civic body meetings, local conflict, caste conflict in neighborhood, local political connections, and caste association membership significantly increase the predicted probability of turnout. Factors like time family lived in the place, age, holding of below-poverty-line (BPL) cards, and receipt of public benefits increase voter turnout; whereas, business association membership, being female, metro-city resident, business being the main income source, urban residence, and the age quadratic reduce voter turnout. Separate analyses of the rural and urban, male and female contexts largely obtain the same line of results.

中文翻译:

印度选举参与的政治经济决定因素

摘要 选举赋予民主国家民众合法性,因此,选举参与是民主和公民参与质量的重要指标。了解推动公民投票决定的因素是民主理论和实践的核心,并且对政党和政府机构的选民动员努力具有重要意义。我们利用具有全国代表性的印度人类发展调查 - 2005 (IHDS-2005) 研究了 2004 年 Lok Sabha 选举中选举投票率的个人水平决定因素。我们发现了令人信服但混合的证据来支持政治制度因素,以及解释选民投票率的心理、动员、社会化和资源模型的一些变量。公众对州政府、报纸和司法机构的信任,看电视、参加公民团体会议、地方冲突、邻里的种姓冲突、地方政治关系和种姓协会成员身份显着增加了投票率的预测概率。家庭居住时间、年龄、持有贫困线以下(BPL)卡、领取公共福利等因素增加了投票率;而商业协会会员、女性、都市居民、商业是主要收入来源、城市居民和年龄二次方会降低选民投票率。对农村和城市、男性和女性背景的单独分析在很大程度上获得了相同的结果。种姓协会成员身份显着增加了投票率的预测概率。家庭居住时间、年龄、持有贫困线以下(BPL)卡、领取公共福利等因素增加了投票率;而商业协会会员、女性、都市居民、商业是主要收入来源、城市居民和年龄二次方会降低选民投票率。对农村和城市、男性和女性背景的单独分析在很大程度上获得了相同的结果。种姓协会成员身份显着增加了投票率的预测概率。家庭居住时间、年龄、持有贫困线以下(BPL)卡、领取公共福利等因素增加了投票率;而商业协会会员、女性、都市居民、商业是主要收入来源、城市居民和年龄二次方会降低选民投票率。对农村和城市、男性和女性背景的单独分析在很大程度上获得了相同的结果。和年龄二次方减少选民投票率。对农村和城市、男性和女性背景的单独分析在很大程度上获得了相同的结果。和年龄二次方减少选民投票率。对农村和城市、男性和女性背景的单独分析在很大程度上获得了相同的结果。
更新日期:2019-03-15
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