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Local adaptive capacity to climate change in mountainous agricultural areas in the eastern Mediterranean (Lebanon)
Climate Risk Management ( IF 4.8 ) Pub Date : 2021-07-13 , DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2021.100345
Charbel Mahfoud 1 , Jocelyne Adjizian-Gerard 1
Affiliation  

The potential capacity of an agricultural community to adapt to climate change is directly related to several indicators, mainly the initial state of local farmers’ perceptions to climate and adaptation, the socio-economy, the space and biophysical characteristics, the institutional efficiency, and the technological aspects. Adaptive capacity reflects directly on the ease or difficulty of the current and future adaptation processes of a system. In this study, the adaptive capacity in mountain agriculture is weighed in 4 different zones of Mount-Lebanon on the East coast of the Mediterranean Sea, one of the most vulnerable hot spots to climate change worldwide. The assessment was based on a multi-criteria analysis of the key indicators of local adaptive capacity, assisted by a survey conducted on 378 farmers (apple growers) in the study area consisting of 24 villages grouped in 4 clusters. Results show that, while presenting a variation between the 4 clusters, the local adaptive capacity is weak and less than the average for the concerned area of study in general. None of the considered zones concurrently had the highest score for all the assessed criteria and each cluster had its own strong potency indicators. The overall comparative approach reveals that the local potential for adaptation to climate change in agriculture, specifically apple growing, is the highest in the Bcharreh cluster area compared to the three other clusters of Aqoura, Mayrouba and Jouar el Hoz.



中文翻译:

地中海东部山区农业地区当地对气候变化的适应能力(黎巴嫩)

一个农业社区适应气候变化的潜在能力与几个指标直接相关,主要是当地农民对气候和适应的认识的初始状态、社会经济、空间和生物物理特征、制度效率以及技术方面。适应能力直接反映系统当前和未来适应过程的难易程度。在这项研究中,对地中海东海岸黎巴嫩山的 4 个不同区域山区农业的适应能力进行了权衡,该区域是全球气候变化最脆弱的热点之一。评估基于对当地适应能力关键指标的多标准分析,通过对研究区的 378 名农民(苹果种植者)进行的调查,该调查由 24 个村庄组成,分为 4 个集群。结果表明,虽然 4 个集群之间存在差异,但局部适应能力较弱,总体上低于相关研究领域的平均水平。没有一个考虑的区域同时在所有评估标准中获得最高分,并且每个集群都有自己强大的效力指标。总体比较方法表明,与 Aqoura、Mayrouba 和 Jouar el Hoz 的其他三个集群相比,Bcharreh 集群区域在农业方面适应气候变化的当地潜力最高,特别是苹果种植。当地适应能力较弱,总体上低于相关研究领域的平均水平。没有一个考虑的区域同时在所有评估标准中获得最高分,并且每个集群都有自己强大的效力指标。总体比较方法表明,与 Aqoura、Mayrouba 和 Jouar el Hoz 的其他三个集群相比,Bcharreh 集群区域在农业方面适应气候变化的当地潜力最高,特别是苹果种植。当地适应能力较弱,总体上低于相关研究领域的平均水平。没有一个考虑的区域同时在所有评估标准中获得最高分,并且每个集群都有自己强大的效力指标。总体比较方法表明,与 Aqoura、Mayrouba 和 Jouar el Hoz 的其他三个集群相比,Bcharreh 集群区域在农业方面适应气候变化的当地潜力最高,特别是苹果种植。

更新日期:2021-07-21
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