Legislation has been proposed that would change the European Union (EU) agricultural supply chain, including targeted reductions in the use of agricultural inputs. Our results indicate that reducing those inputs (fertilizer, pesticides, land, and antimicrobials) could lead to a reduction in the EU agricultural production by 12%, less competitiveness in export markets, and negative impacts to consumer budgets and societal welfare. If the EU were to implement technological improvements, the impacts would be lessened; however, the necessary improvement in technology will require additional investment in research and development. Based on historical trends, these improvements are projected to take up to 27 years.

中文翻译：

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从农场到餐桌的市场影响：减少农业投入品的使用

已经提出立法来改变欧盟 (EU) 的农业供应链，包括有针对性地减少农业投入的使用。我们的结果表明，减少这些投入（化肥、杀虫剂、土地和抗菌剂）可能导致欧盟农业产量减少 12%，出口市场竞争力下降，并对消费者预算和社会福利产生负面影响。如果欧盟实施技术改进，影响会减少；然而，必要的技术改进将需要对研发进行额外投资。根据历史趋势，这些改进预计需要长达 27 年的时间。