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Perceptions and realities of hydroclimatic change affecting Guyanese rice farming
Climate Risk Management ( IF 4.8 ) Pub Date : 2021-07-06 , DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2021.100341
Omchand Mahdu 1 , Andrew W. Ellis 2
Affiliation  

This study explores small farmers' perceptions of changes in climate across Guyana’s rice-producing regions. Qualitative, primary data were collected from a random sample of 189 small farmers, supplemented with 28 key informants, from across Guyana’s five main rice-producing regions. The most prevalent perception related to precipitation among farmers is an increase in rainfall year-round (56%), while for informants, it is an increase in rainfall intensity (81%). When considering the atmospheric conditions of temperature and humidity, farmers (88%) and informants (96%) overwhelmingly perceive warmer conditions. Considering weather and climate volatility, farmers (72%) and informants (82%) most prevalently perceive an increase in excess rainfall/flooding, but secondly, farmers (58%) and informants (71%) communicated a perceived increase in drought. Secondary quantitative hydroclimate data support the perception of a wetter climate, and to some degree, increased hydroclimatic volatility. Precipitation is critical to rice cultivation, and the data sets, combined, signal a wetter Guyanese climate, which has major economic implications for small farmers, the broader rice industry, and the economy of Guyana. However, granularity in farmers’ perceptions suggests a need for more detailed hydroclimate monitoring across Guyana. Thus, strengthening the Guyanese Hydrometeorological Service to support improved spatial and temporal monitoring and collection of primary weather data would be a wise investment in short- and long-term climate mitigation efforts.



中文翻译:

影响圭亚那水稻种植的水文气候变化的认识和现实

本研究探讨了小农对圭亚那水稻产区气候变化的看法。定性的原始数据是从圭亚那五个主要水稻产区的 189 名小农随机样本中收集的,并辅以 28 名关键知情人。农民对降水最普遍的看法是全年降雨量增加(56%),而对于知情人来说,降雨强度增加(81%)。在考虑温度和湿度的大气条件时,农民 (88%) 和线人 (96%) 压倒性地感知到更温暖的条件。考虑到天气和气候的波动,农民 (72%) 和信息提供者 (82%) 最普遍地认为过量降雨/洪水增加,但其次,农民 (58%) 和线人 (71%) 表示干旱明显增加。二级定量水文气候数据支持对更潮湿气候的看法,并在某种程度上,增加了水文气候的波动性。降水对水稻种植至关重要,综合数据集表明圭亚那气候更加湿润,这对小农、更广泛的水稻产业和圭亚那经济具有重大的经济意义。然而,农民感知的粒度表明需要在圭亚那进行更详细的水文气候监测。因此,加强圭亚那水文气象服务以支持改进时空监测和主要天气数据的收集将是对短期和长期气候减缓努力的明智投资。二级定量水文气候数据支持对更潮湿气候的看法,并在某种程度上,增加了水文气候的波动性。降水对水稻种植至关重要,综合数据集表明圭亚那气候更加湿润,这对小农、更广泛的水稻产业和圭亚那经济具有重大的经济意义。然而,农民感知的粒度表明需要在圭亚那进行更详细的水文气候监测。因此,加强圭亚那水文气象服务以支持改进时空监测和主要天气数据的收集将是对短期和长期气候减缓努力的明智投资。二级定量水文气候数据支持对更潮湿气候的看法,并在某种程度上,增加了水文气候的波动性。降水对水稻种植至关重要,综合数据集表明圭亚那气候更加湿润,这对小农、更广泛的水稻产业和圭亚那经济具有重大的经济意义。然而,农民感知的粒度表明需要在圭亚那进行更详细的水文气候监测。因此,加强圭亚那水文气象服务以支持改进时空监测和主要天气数据的收集将是对短期和长期气候减缓努力的明智投资。综合起来,预示着圭亚那的气候更加湿润,这对小农、更广泛的水稻产业和圭亚那的经济具有重大的经济影响。然而,农民感知的粒度表明需要在圭亚那进行更详细的水文气候监测。因此,加强圭亚那水文气象服务以支持改进时空监测和主要天气数据的收集将是对短期和长期气候减缓努力的明智投资。综合起来,预示着圭亚那的气候更加湿润,这对小农、更广泛的水稻产业和圭亚那的经济具有重大的经济影响。然而,农民感知的粒度表明需要在圭亚那进行更详细的水文气候监测。因此,加强圭亚那水文气象服务以支持改进时空监测和主要天气数据的收集将是对短期和长期气候减缓努力的明智投资。

更新日期:2021-07-12
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