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East Side Story: Historical Pollution and Persistent Neighborhood Sorting
Journal of Political Economy ( IF 6.9 ) Pub Date : 2020-12-18 , DOI: 10.1086/713101
Stephan Heblich , Alex Trew , Yanos Zylberberg

Why are the east sides of formerly industrial cities often the more deprived? Using individual-level census data together with newly created historical pollution patterns derived from the locations of 5,000 industrial chimneys and an atmospheric model, we show that this results from the persistence of neighborhood sorting that ?rst emerged during the Industrial Revolution when prevailing winds blew pollution eastwards. Past pollution explains up to 20% of the observed neighborhood segregation in 2011, even though coal pollution stopped in the 1970s. A quantitative model identi?es the role of non-linearities and tipping-like dynamics underlying this persistence.

中文翻译:

东区故事:历史污染和持久性邻里排序

为什么前工业城市的东边往往更贫困?使用个人层面的人口普查数据以及源自 5,000 个工业烟囱位置的新创建的历史污染模式和大气模型,我们表明这是由于工业革命期间盛行风吹过污染时首次出现的社区分类的持续存在向东。尽管煤炭污染在 1970 年代停止,但过去的污染解释了 2011 年观察到的社区隔离的 20%。定量模型确定了非线性和类似小费的动态在这种持久性下的作用。
更新日期:2020-12-18
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