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Influence of smart meters on the accuracy of methods for forecasting natural gas consumption
Energy Reports ( IF 5.2 ) Pub Date : 2021-07-02 , DOI: 10.1016/j.egyr.2021.06.014
Ivan Smajla 1 , Daria Karasalihović Sedlar 1 , Domagoj Vulin 1 , Lucija Jukić 1
Affiliation  

In 2019, natural gas accounted for 25.4% of gross inland consumption in the European Union (EU), making it one of the most important energy sources in the EU. The importance of natural gas, together with the ongoing liberalization of the gas market, has made the natural gas sector significantly commercially sensitive. To reduce the risk of financial losses, balance group managers often need to have an accurate forecast of natural gas consumption. An accurate forecast will ensure small deviations between actual gas consumption and reserved gas volumes and transmission system capacity resulting in less balancing energy required, which is sold at a higher price in the final balancing process.

中文翻译:

智能电表对天然气消耗量预测方法准确性的影响

2019年,天然气占欧盟内陆消费总量的25.4%,成为欧盟最重要的能源之一。天然气的重要性以及天然气市场的持续自由化使得天然气行业具有显着的商业敏感性。为了降低财务损失的风险,平衡组经理通常需要准确预测天然气消耗量。准确的预测将确保实际天然气消耗量与预留天然气量和传输系统容量之间的偏差较小,从而减少所需的平衡能源,并在最终平衡过程中以更高的价格出售。
更新日期:2021-07-02
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