This article reports on trends in organized violence, building on new data by the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP). The falling trend in fatalities stemming from organized violence in the world, observed for five consecutive years, broke upwards in 2020 and deaths in organized violence seem to have settled on a high plateau. UCDP registered more than 80,100 deaths in organized violence in 2020, compared to 76,300 in 2019. The decrease in violence in Afghanistan and Syria was countered by escalating conflicts in, for example, Artsakh (Nagorno-Karabakh), Azerbaijan and Tigray, Ethiopia. Moreover, the call for a global ceasefire following the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic failed to produce any results. In fact, the number of active state-based and non-state conflicts, as well as the number of actors carrying out one-sided violence against civilians, increased when compared to 2019. UCDP noted a record-high number of 56 state-based conflicts in 2020, including eight wars. Most of the conflicts occurred in Africa, as the region registered 30 state-based conflicts, including nine new or restarted ones.

本文以乌普萨拉冲突数据计划 (UCDP) 的新数据为基础，报告了有组织暴力的趋势。连续五年观察到的全球有组织暴力死亡人数下降趋势在 2020 年开始上升，有组织暴力死亡人数似乎已经稳定在高位。UCDP 在 2020 年记录了 80,100 多人在有组织的暴力事件中死亡，而 2019 年为 76,300。阿富汗和叙利亚暴力事件的减少被阿尔萨赫（纳戈尔诺-卡拉巴赫）、阿塞拜疆和埃塞俄比亚提格雷等地区不断升级的冲突所抵消。此外，在 COVID-19 大流行爆发后要求全球停火的呼吁未能产生任何结果。事实上，活跃的基于状态和非状态冲突的数量，以及对平民实施片面暴力的行为者数量与 2019 年相比有所增加。 UCDP 指出，2020 年发生了 56 起基于州的冲突，其中包括八场战争，创下了历史新高。大多数冲突发生在非洲，因为该地区记录了 30 起基于国家的冲突，其中包括 9 起新的或重新启动的冲突。