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Using a Satisficing Model of Experimenter Decision-Making to Guide Finite-Sample Inference for Compromised Experiments
The Econometrics Journal ( IF 2.9 ) Pub Date : 2021-04-01 , DOI: 10.1093/ectj/utab009
James J Heckman 1 , Ganesh Karapakula 2
Affiliation  

This paper presents a simple decision-theoretic economic approach for analysing social experiments with compromised random assignment protocols that are only partially documented. We model administratively constrained experimenters who satisfice in seeking covariate balance. We develop design-based small-sample hypothesis tests that use worst-case (least favourable) randomization null distributions. Our approach accommodates a variety of compromised experiments, including imperfectly documented rerandomization designs. To make our analysis concrete, we focus much of our discussion on the influential Perry Preschool Project. We reexamine previous estimates of programme effectiveness using our methods. The choice of how to model reassignment vitally affects inference.

中文翻译:

使用令人满意的实验者决策模型来指导妥协实验的有限样本推理

本文提出了一种简单的决策理论经济方法,用于分析带有仅部分记录的受损随机分配协议的社会实验。我们对满足寻求协变量平衡的行政约束实验者进行建模。我们开发了基于设计的小样本假设检验,该检验使用最坏情况(最不利的)随机化零分布。我们的方法适用于各种妥协的实验,包括记录不完善的重新随机化设计。为了使我们的分析具体化,我们将大部分讨论集中在有影响力的 Perry Preschool Project 上。我们使用我们的方法重新检查了以前对计划有效性的估计。如何对重新分配建模的选择对推理产生重大影响。
更新日期:2021-04-01
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