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Developing a diversification strategy of non-agricultural activities on farms using system dynamics modelling: a case study of Slovenia
Kybernetes ( IF 2.5 ) Pub Date : 2021-06-29 , DOI: 10.1108/k-04-2021-0254
Maja Žibert 1 , Boris Prevolšek 2 , Karmen Pažek 1 , Črtomir Rozman 3 , Andrej Škraba 4
Affiliation  

Purpose

This paper aims to analyse the main variables and causal relationships in the system structure of the diversification of non-agricultural activities on agricultural holdings using system dynamics (SD) modelling. The SD model aims to simulate depictions of the behaviour of the real system while testing the effects of alternative decisions over time.

Design/methodology/approach

An SD methodology was chosen to model diversification in farm tourism.

Findings

A system approach increases the authors’ understanding of the transition of agricultural holdings to farm tourism. The results indicate that the transition to farm tourism depends on the level of tourism development in a certain area. The system is influenced by subsidies allocated by authorities to expand primary agricultural activities. The model describes a situation in which the tourism and agricultural industries have been affected by the COVID-19 pandemic.

Research limitations/implications

The research is limited by the small set of available data due to the limited number of farms in Slovenia. One major problem is the difference in statistical data on the same activity collected from different institutions in Slovenia.

Practical implications

The paper includes implications for understanding the transition process to farm tourism, allowing policymakers to experiment with subsidies and promotion to explore the efficacy and efficiency of proposed policies.

Originality/value

This study provides a structured, systemic view of the diversification of non-agricultural activities on agricultural holdings, where the simulation results are a reliable reflection of the behaviour of the actual system being modelled.



中文翻译:

使用系统动力学模型制定农场非农业活动的多样化战略:斯洛文尼亚的案例研究

目的

本文旨在利用系统动力学(SD)模型分析农业生产经营单位非农活动多样化的系统结构中的主要变量和因果关系。SD 模型旨在模拟真实系统行为的描述,同时随着时间的推移测试替代决策的影响。

设计/方法/方法

选择了 SD 方法来模拟农场旅游的多样化。

发现

系统方法增加了作者对农业生产向农业旅游转变的理解。结果表明,向农业旅游的转型取决于一定地区的旅游发展水平。该系统受到当局为扩大初级农业活动而分配的补贴的影响。该模型描述了旅游业和农业受到 COVID-19 大流行影响的情况。

研究限制/影响

由于斯洛文尼亚的农场数量有限,该研究受到少量可用数据的限制。一个主要问题是从斯洛文尼亚不同机构收集的同一活动的统计数据不同。

实际影响

该论文包括对理解向农业旅游的过渡过程的影响,允许政策制定者尝试补贴和促销活动,以探索拟议政策的有效性和效率。

原创性/价值

本研究为农业生产经营单位的非农业活动多样化提供了一个结构化的系统视图,其中模拟结果可靠地反映了被建模的实际系统的行为。

更新日期:2021-06-29
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