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When Falling Just Short is a Good Thing: The Effect of Past Performance on Improvement
Journal of Sports Economics ( IF 1.8 ) Pub Date : 2021-06-24 , DOI: 10.1177/15270025211018247
Mariya Burdina 1 , Scott Hiller 2
Affiliation  

Models of reference-dependent preferences show that an individual’s utility depends on the difference between the outcome and a “neutral” reference point. Our paper investigates how distance from reference points affects future performance. We find that round numbers and personal bests motivate runners and that missing the goal by a small amount improves future performance. For those who achieve their goal, future performance suffers slightly. In empirical analysis, we use an extensive panel of marathon data, which contains a past running history for every runner in our sample and allows us to estimate runners’ ability and experience.



中文翻译:

当不及格是一件好事时:过去的表现对改进的影响

参考依赖偏好模型表明,个人的效用取决于结果与“中性”参考点之间的差异。我们的论文调查了与参考点的距离如何影响未来的表现。我们发现整数和个人最好成绩会激励跑步者,而少跑一个目标会提高未来的表现。对于那些实现目标的人,未来的表现会受到轻微影响。在实证分析中,我们使用了大量马拉松数据,其中包含样本中每个跑步者过去的跑步历史,并允许我们估计跑步者的能力和经验。

更新日期:2021-06-25
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