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The landscape of econometric discrete choice modelling research
Journal of Choice Modelling ( IF 2.8 ) Pub Date : 2021-06-24 , DOI: 10.1016/j.jocm.2021.100303
Milad Haghani , Michiel C.J. Bliemer , David A. Hensher

Econometric modelling of choice now constitutes a major cross-over between multiple fields of research in which quantitative valuation of human preferences is of interest. The methods are pervasively used by consumer, environmental and health economists as well as transportation researchers and beyond. This work analyses the scholarly literature on econometric discrete choice modelling developed in the last fifty years. The literature is estimated to have grown beyond 14,000 research items while an excess of 1,000 new items have been published each year since 2015. This trend has essentially doubled the size of this literature within the last five years. While the largest portion of this literature is concentrated in the transportation sector, the methods are currently most trendy in health economics. This is striking given that health economists come late to adopt econometric choice methods compared to other major disciplines. Since 2014, more applications of discrete choice models have been reported in health-related studies than any other domain. Also, while the number of applications in consumer and transportation studies have been fluctuating over the past few years, applications in environmental studies are steadily on the rise at a rate comparable to that of health. Activities in the methodological cluster of this field have rather notably slowed down during the recent years although not extinct. Also, despite slowing down of choice modelling applications in transportation compared to the previous decades, such applications have not disappeared from the transportation sector. A particular area of transportation research where applications of choice modelling methods are still notably trending is electric and automated mobility. Pioneering studies, most influential studies and various streams of choice modelling research along with their time of emergence and duration of trendiness are also objectively determined using a document co-citation analysis. Further analyses are also conducted on patterns of collaboration in this field. These outcomes document the history of development of choice modelling literature at a macro scale and provide a holistic understanding of various divisions of this field along with its influential entities.



中文翻译:

计量经济学离散选择建模研究的前景

选择的计量经济学模型现在构成了多个研究领域之间的主要交叉,其中人类偏好的定量评估很有趣。这些方法被消费者、环境和健康经济学家以及交通研究人员等广泛使用。这项工作分析了过去 50 年发展起来的计量经济学离散选择模型的学术文献。据估计,文献数量已超过 14,000 个研究项目,而自 2015 年以来,每年发表的新项目超过 1,000 个。这一趋势在过去五年内基本上使这些文献的规模翻了一番。虽然这些文献的最大部分集中在交通部门,但这些方法目前在卫生经济学中最为流行。鉴于与其他主要学科相比,卫生经济学家采用计量经济学选择方法较晚,这一点令人震惊。自 2014 年以来,离散选择模型在健康相关研究中的应用比任何其他领域都多。此外,虽然过去几年消费者和交通研究中的应用数量一直在波动,但环境研究中的应用正在以与健康相当的速度稳步增长。近年来,该领域方法学集群中的活动虽然并未灭绝,但速度明显放缓。此外,尽管与过去几十年相比,交通运输中的选择建模应用程序有所放缓,但此类应用程序并未从交通运输部门消失。选择建模方法的应用仍然显着趋势的交通研究的一个特定领域是电动和自动化移动。开创性研究、最有影响力的研究和各种选择模型研究流及其出现时间和流行持续时间也使用文档共引分析客观确定。还对这一领域的合作模式进行了进一步分析。这些成果在宏观尺度上记录了选择建模文献的发展历史,并提供了对该领域各个部门及其影响实体的整体理解。最有影响力的研究和各种选择模型研究的流以及它们的出现时间和流行持续时间也是使用文档共引分析客观确定的。还对这一领域的合作模式进行了进一步分析。这些成果在宏观尺度上记录了选择建模文献的发展历史,并提供了对该领域各个部门及其影响实体的整体理解。最有影响力的研究和各种选择模型研究的流以及它们的出现时间和流行持续时间也是使用文档共引分析客观确定的。还对这一领域的合作模式进行了进一步分析。这些成果在宏观尺度上记录了选择建模文献的发展历史,并提供了对该领域各个部门及其影响实体的整体理解。

更新日期:2021-07-04
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