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Futures literacy and the diversity of the future
Futures ( IF 3.0 ) Pub Date : 2021-06-22 , DOI: 10.1016/j.futures.2021.102793
Astrid C. Mangnus , Jeroen Oomen , Joost M. Vervoort , Maarten A. Hajer

In this paper, we argue that a key component of futures literacy is reflexivity regarding different attitudes toward the future. Various intellectual traditions and futures practices make epistemologically distinct claims about the future and its manifestations in the present. Through their different outlooks on analyzing, understanding, and influencing the future, these diverse approaches represent fundamentally different attitudes to what it means to meaningfully engage with the future. Because of this diversity of attitudes toward the future, and the different possible modes of engagement with the future, futures literacy is more complex than it appears at first glance. Looking at recent developments in futures literature, we build on four epistemologically and ontologically distinct approaches to the problem of the future. We argue that being futures literate depends on reflexivity about these different engagements with the future, and what these different approaches can offer future-oriented action respectively. Such reflexivity entails being reflexive about how different approaches to the problem of the future arise, as well as about the underlying power structures. We also investigate possibilities to cultivate this futures reflexivity and conclude with a set of questions to guide future research in deepening reflexivity as a key element of futures literacy.



中文翻译:

未来素养和未来的多样性

在本文中,我们认为未来素养的一个关键组成部分是对未来不同态度的反思性。各种知识传统和未来实践对未来及其在当下的表现做出了认识论上截然不同的主张。通过他们对分析、理解和影响未来的不同看法,这些不同的方法代表了对有意义地参与未来意味着什么的根本不同的态度。由于对未来态度的多样性,以及与未来接触的不同可能模式,未来素养比乍一看更为复杂。展望未来文献的最新发展,我们建立在四种认识论和本体论上不同的未来问题方法之上。我们认为,了解未来取决于对这些与未来的不同参与的反思性,以及这些不同的方法可以分别提供哪些面向未来的行动。这种反思性需要反思未来问题的不同方法是如何出现的,以及潜在的权力结构。我们还研究了培养这种未来反思性的可能性,并提出了一系列问题来指导未来的研究,将反思性作为未来素养的一个关键要素。以及潜在的权力结构。我们还研究了培养这种未来反思性的可能性,并提出了一系列问题来指导未来的研究,将反思性作为未来素养的一个关键要素。以及潜在的权力结构。我们还研究了培养这种未来反思性的可能性,并提出了一系列问题来指导未来的研究,将反思性作为未来素养的一个关键要素。

更新日期:2021-06-25
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