A clear understanding of community response to government decisions is crucial for policy makers and health officials during the COVID-19 pandemic. In this study, we document the determinants of implementation and compliance with stay-at-home orders in the USA, focusing on trust and social capital. Using cell phone data measuring changes in non-essential trips and average distance traveled, we find that mobility decreases significantly more in high-trust counties than in low-trust counties after the stay-at-home orders are implemented, with larger effects for more stringent orders. We also provide evidence that the estimated effect on post-order compliance is especially large for confidence in the press and governmental institutions, and relatively smaller for confidence in medicine and in science.

在 COVID-19 大流行期间，清楚了解社区对政府决策的反应对于政策制定者和卫生官员至关重要。在这项研究中，我们记录了美国实施和遵守居家令的决定因素，重点关注信任和社会资本。使用手机数据测量非必要出行和平均出行距离的变化，我们发现，在实施“居家令”后，高信任度县的流动性下降幅度明显大于低信任度县，对更多人的影响更大。严格的命令。我们还提供证据表明，对于媒体和政府机构的信心而言，订单后合规性的估计影响尤其大，而对于医学和科学的信心而言，影响相对较小。