Child mortality has been declining globally in the last decades but some African countries are still lagging behind in the pace of reduction. This study examined the spatio-temporal patterns in the level and variability of child mortality in 41 Africa countries between 1980 and 2018, and assesses the form of relationship between individual countries’ gross domestic product (GDP) and child mortality using country-level data from World Bank development indicators. Model estimation was based on Bayesian approach. Findings show that child mortality levels are reducing consistently in Africa and that over the 39 years study period, South Africa, Botswana, Namibia, Malawi, Zimbabwe, Mozambique and Zambia all in southern Africa with Egypt, Tunisia and Rwanda experienced the highest variability in child mortality. Also, countries like Nigeria, Mauritania, Chad and Central African Republic are among those with the highest risks of child mortality between 2015-2018 even though the risks were lower relative to other places in the 1980s. Child mortality and GDP always follow each other in reverse order but this is not often the case for all the countries considered.

在过去的几十年里，全球儿童死亡率一直在下降，但一些非洲国家的下降速度仍然落后。本研究考察了 1980 年至 2018 年间 41 个非洲国家儿童死亡率水平和变异性的时空格局，并使用来自世界银行发展指标。模型估计基于贝叶斯方法。调查结果表明，非洲的儿童死亡率水平持续下降，在 39 年的研究期间，南非、博茨瓦纳、纳米比亚、马拉维、津巴布韦、莫桑比克和赞比亚都在南部非洲，其中埃及、突尼斯和卢旺达的儿童死亡率变化最大。死亡。此外，尼日利亚、毛里塔尼亚、乍得和中非共和国是 2015 年至 2018 年间儿童死亡风险最高的国家，尽管与 1980 年代的其他地方相比，这些风险较低。儿童死亡率和 GDP 总是以相反的顺序相互跟随，但并非所有考虑的国家都是这种情况。