ABSTRACT

This comparative statistical analysis is of tolerance and how it was perceived and experienced by minorities and majorities in the UK and Germany before and after two defining national events that both focused on immigration and national identity. Based on combined sweeps of the European Social Survey (2012–2018), this study applied logistic regression modelling to determine that during the Brexit vote in 2016 and the German Refugee Crisis in 2015, majorities from lower socioeconomic backgrounds were more likely to be intolerant towards minorities, who were more likely to experience discrimination. Majority intolerance and minority perceptions of discrimination increased after both events among less well-off groups. However, majorities from higher socioeconomic backgrounds were less likely to exhibit intolerance towards minorities before these national events and after. This study offers an original perspective on race and ethnic relations at times of national crises over identity and belonging.

摘要

这种比较统计分析是关于容忍度的，以及英国和德国的少数族裔和多数族裔在两次重点关注移民和民族认同的定义性国家事件之前和之后的看法和体验。基于欧洲社会调查（2012-2018 年）的综合扫描，本研究应用逻辑回归模型确定在 2016 年英国脱欧公投和 2015 年德国难民危机期间，来自较低社会经济背景的大多数人更有可能对少数族裔，他们更容易受到歧视。在较不富裕的群体中，多数人的不容忍和少数人对歧视的看法在这两次事件之后有所增加。然而，在这些全国性事件之前和之后，来自较高社会经济背景的大多数人不太可能表现出对少数群体的不容忍。这项研究提供了一个关于民族身份和归属危机时期种族和民族关系的原创视角。