As active involvement in protest has been legitimized as an acceptable form of political activity, citizens’ protest potential has become an important measure to understand contemporary democratic politics. However, the arbitrary use of a forced-choice question, which prevents those who have previously participated in protests from expressing willingness to engage in future protest, and the limited coverage of international surveys across countries and years have impeded comparative research on protest potential. This research develops a new systematic weighting method for the measurement of protest potential for comparative research. Using the 1996 International Social Survey Program survey, which asks two separate questions about “have done” and “would do” demonstrations, I create a weighting scale for the forced-choice question by estimating the predicted probabilities of protest potential for those who have already participated in demonstrations. Capitalizing on the survey data recycling framework, this study also controls for harmonization procedures and the quality of surveys, thereby expanding the cross-national and temporal coverage beyond the affluent Western democracies. The results show that this weighting scale provides a valid measure of protest potential, and the survey data recycling framework improves comparability between surveys.

由于积极参与抗议已被合法化为一种可接受的政治活动形式，公民的抗议潜力已成为理解当代民主政治的重要衡量标准。然而，强制选择问题的随意使用，阻止了以前参加过抗议的人表达参与未来抗议的意愿，以及跨国家和年份的国际调查覆盖范围有限，阻碍了对抗议潜力的比较研究。本研究开发了一种新的系统加权方法，用于衡量比较研究的抗议潜力。使用 1996 年国际社会调查计划调查，该调查提出了关于“已经完成”和“将要进行”示范的两个单独问题，我通过估计那些已经参加过示威的人的抗议潜力的预测概率，为强制选择问题创建了一个权重表。利用调查数据回收框架，本研究还控制了协调程序和调查质量，从而将跨国和时间覆盖范围扩大到富裕的西方民主国家之外。结果表明，这种加权尺度提供了一种有效的抗议潜力衡量标准，调查数据回收框架提高了调查之间的可比性。从而将跨国和时间覆盖范围扩大到富裕的西方民主国家之外。结果表明，这种加权尺度提供了一种有效的抗议潜力衡量标准，调查数据回收框架提高了调查之间的可比性。从而将跨国和时间覆盖范围扩大到富裕的西方民主国家之外。结果表明，这种加权尺度提供了一种有效的抗议潜力衡量标准，调查数据回收框架提高了调查之间的可比性。