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A Techno-Economic Investigation of Wind Power Potential in Coastal Belt of Sindh: Preventing Energy Crisis in Pakistan
Journal of Electrical Engineering & Technology ( IF 1.6 ) Pub Date : 2021-06-15 , DOI: 10.1007/s42835-021-00820-7
Kalsoom Bhagat , Shengyong Ye , Chaohua Dai , Jingru Lian , M. Zubair Bhayo

Pakistan has been facing an energy crisis for many years. Techno-economic analysis of wind power generation is carried out to meet energy demand. Wind data from 2016 to 2018 has been selected for a coastal site of Sindh, Pakistan. For this purpose, four distribution functions, namely Weibull, Gamma, Rayleigh, and Lognormal are used. These distribution functions are compared using the coefficient of determination (R2) and root mean square error tests. Wind potential on a daily, monthly, yearly and seasonal basis is evaluated. In this regard, various turbine models are selected to estimate their power generation capacity. The assessment results for a hub height of 100 m shows the average wind speed for three years is 7.9 m/s with direction dominated between the West and Southwest. The most probable wind speed is 9.5 m/s having a maximum energy density of 455 kWh/m2 in May. The maximum mean wind speed of 8.55 m/s is in the spring. The Weibull distribution function (k = 2.92 & C = 8.86 m/s) performs the best. The maximum capacity factor for Fuhrlander LLC WTU 3.0–120 is 55.49% and for Siemens SWT-3.15–142 is 55.22%. Likewise, the estimated lowest LCOE ($/1kWh) for Fuhrlander LLC WTU 3.0–120 and Siemens SWT-3.15–142 is $0.04016 and $0.04035 respectively. Thus, this site contains suitable technical and economic characteristics of the wind power plant.



中文翻译:

信德省沿海地区风电潜力的技术经济调查:预防巴基斯坦的能源危机

巴基斯坦多年来一直面临能源危机。对风力发电进行技术经济分析以满足能源需求。已为巴基斯坦信德省的沿海站点选择了 2016 年至 2018 年的风力数据。为此,使用了四个分布函数,即 Weibull、Gamma、Rayleigh 和 Lognormal。使用决定系数 (R 2) 和均方根误差检验。评估每天、每月、每年和季节性的风力潜力。在这方面,选择了各种涡轮机模型来估计它们的发电能力。轮毂高度100 m的评估结果显示,三年平均风速为7.9 m/s,风向以西风和西南风为主。最可能的风速为 9.5 m/s,最大能量密度为 455 kWh/m 2在五月。春季最大平均风速为 8.55 m/s。Weibull 分布函数 (k = 2.92 & C = 8.86 m/s) 表现最好。Fuhrlander LLC WTU 3.0–120 的最大容量系数为 55.49%,Siemens SWT-3.15–142 的最大容量系数为 55.22%。同样,Fuhrlander LLC WTU 3.0-120 和 Siemens SWT-3.15-142 的估计最低 LCOE($/1kWh)分别为 0.04016 美元和 0.04035 美元。因此,该站点包含适合风力发电厂的技术和经济特征。

更新日期:2021-06-15
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