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Considerations regarding species distribution models for forest insects
Agricultural and Forest Entomology ( IF 1.6 ) Pub Date : 2021-06-14 , DOI: 10.1111/afe.12458
Frank H. Koch 1
Affiliation  

  1. Species distribution models, or SDMs, have become important decision support tools by answering fundamental questions about where species, including invasive species, are likely to survive and thrive based on environmental conditions.
  2. For an inexperienced modeller or model reviewer, the terminology and technical aspects of SDMs can be overwhelming, and even well-trained modellers can struggle to understand the implications of various modelling choices.
  3. Here, I outline some key considerations with respect to SDMs, focusing on their application to forest insects. Foremost, I assert that a model should be developed and evaluated with attention to relationships between an insect and its hosts, as those relationships determine much about the places the insect may occupy.
  4. In my view, the most successful models are constructed carefully and incorporate honest assessments of their limitations, sources of error and uncertainty, and the degree of linkage between the model and the real-world circumstances it is meant to portray.


中文翻译:

关于森林昆虫物种分布模型的考虑

  1. 物种分布模型或 SDM 通过回答有关物种(包括入侵物种)可能根据环境条件生存和繁衍的基本问题,已成为重要的决策支持工具。
  2. 对于没有经验的建模师或模型审查员来说,SDM 的术语和技术方面可能会让人不知所措,甚至训练有素的建模师也很难理解各种建模选择的含义。
  3. 在这里,我概述了关于 SDM 的一些关键考虑因素,重点是它们在森林昆虫中的应用。首先,我断言应该在开发和评估模型时关注昆虫与其宿主之间的关系,因为这些关系决定了昆虫可能占据的位置。
  4. 在我看来,最成功的模型都是精心构建的,并结合了对其局限性、错误和不确定性来源以及模型与其要描绘的现实世界环境之间的联系程度的诚实评估。
更新日期:2021-06-14
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