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Local warming is real: A meta-analysis of the effect of recent temperature on climate change beliefs
Current Opinion in Behavioral Sciences ( IF 4.9 ) Pub Date : 2021-06-04 , DOI: 10.1016/j.cobeha.2021.04.015
Eli R Sugerman , Ye Li , Eric J Johnson

Climate change is a complex phenomenon that the public learns about both abstractly through media and education, and concretely through personal experiences. While public beliefs about global warming may be controversial in some circles, an emerging body of research on the ‘local warming’ effect suggests that people’s judgments of climate change or global warming are impacted by recent, local temperatures. A meta-analysis including 31 observations across 82 952 participants derived from 17 papers published since 2006 found a small but significant effect overall: a 1°C increase in temperature increases worry about climate change by 1.2%. Moderation analysis found larger effects for temperatures over longer time frames and smaller effects for behaviors versus beliefs. We also review conceptually related effects due to other extreme weather events, as well as effects on behaviors related to climate change beliefs.



中文翻译:

局部变暖是真实的:近期气温对气候变化信念影响的元分析

气候变化是一种复杂的现象,公众可以通过媒体和教育抽象地了解,也可以通过个人经历具体了解。虽然公众对全球变暖的看法在某些圈子中可能存在争议,但一项关于“局部变暖”效应的新兴研究表明,人们对气候变化或全球变暖的判断受到近期局部温度的影响。一项荟萃分析包括来自 2006 年以来发表的 17 篇论文的 82,952 名参与者的 31 项观察结果,发现总体上有一个小而显着的影响:温度升高 1°C 会使对气候变化的担忧增加 1.2%。适度分析发现,在较长的时间范围内,温度对温度的影响较大,而对行为与信念的影响较小。我们还审查了其他极端天气事件引起的概念相关影响,

更新日期:2021-06-04
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