abstract:

There are three ways that technology may be woven into the pattern of history: as the basis for sustainability, for progress, and for crisis. Currently historians are exploring all three patterns. Their approaches relate in some degree to different audiences, which include not only other historians but also engineers, social scientists, policy makers, and the wider public. This essay focuses on the historical pattern of crisis, a concept that is currently evolving from the older idea of a sharply defined turning point to one of ongoing, ever-spreading centers of doom. Fear that history might become a series of technology-driven crises coexists with continuing enthusiasm about history as technology-driven progress. What needs more attention is the possibility of providing, through material and social means, a historical basis for sustainable security.

摘要：

技术可以通过三种方式融入历史模式：作为可持续性、进步和危机的基础。目前，历史学家正在探索这三种模式。他们的方法在某种程度上与不同的受众有关，其中不仅包括其他历史学家，还包括工程师、社会科学家、政策制定者和更广泛的公众。本文重点介绍危机的历史模式，这个概念目前正在从一个明确定义的转折点的旧观念演变为一个持续的、不断蔓延的厄运中心。对历史可能成为一系列技术驱动的危机的担忧与随着技术驱动的进步对历史的持续热情并存。需要更多关注的是通过物质和社会手段为可持续安全提供历史基础的可能性。